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                        '96 ELECTION SNAPSHOT
                               VOL.1 #8


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CONTENTS:
   FORBES QUITS RACE
   U.S. OPINION ROUNDUP: STEVE FORBES DROPS OUT
   VICE PRESIDENTIAL SWEEPSTAKES
   U.S. OPINION ROUNDUP: THE DOLE LANDSLIDE AND BEYOND
   TOBACCO MONEY IN POLITICS
   CAMPAIGN '96 STATUS REPORT
   PRESIDENTIAL RACE GOES FROM "SUPER TUESDAY" TO "RUST BELT TUESDAY" 
   FORBES, TAYLOR DROP OUT OF PRESIDENTIAL RACE
   CLINTON CONTINUES TO WIN ALL DEMOCRATIC PRIMARIES
   CLINTON-GORE CAMPAIGN RELEASES FIRST TV AD
   PEROT QUIETLY BUILDING NEW PARTY
   GRAMM, COCHRAN WIN RENOMINATION TO SENATE
   CAMPAIGN FINANCE LAW CHANGES SOUGHT IN HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES
   PUNDITS' PEARLS
   EDITORIAL EXCERPTS
   CAMPAIGN '96: CONSERVATISM - MAIN STREET OR WALL STREET?
   CHINA AND U.S. ELECTIONS
   ASIAN-AMERICAN VOTER REGISTRATION CAMPAIGN GETS UNDERWAY
   DOLE SWEEPS SUPER TUESDAY; CALLS FOR RIVALS TO WITHDRAW
   DOLE WINS TEXAS
   DOLE SAYS REPUBLICANS ARE CLOSING RANKS BEHIND HIM
   CAMPAIGN '96: THE TWO-PARTY SYSTEM
   RELYING ON POLLS FOR POLICY MAKING
   CLINTON CAMPAIGNS ON THE ENVIRONMENT
   BUCHANAN WINS MISSOURI CAUCUS
   CLINTON PLANS RE-ELECTION STRATEGY
   CLINTON WEST COAST CAMPAIGNING
   TEXAS REPUBLICAN DEBATE
   LBJ VOTING RIGHTS MESSAGE 1965
   JACK RUBY: GUILTY 1964
   ROOSEVELT'S FIRST "FIRESIDE CHAT" 1933
   THE TRUMAN DOCTRINE 1947
   WORLD PRESS: AFTER WIN IN N.Y., MAJORITY LEADER MUST NOW UNITE GOP
   =========================
   ---------------
   FORBES QUITS RACE

   JIM MALONE
   WASHINGTON

   Steve Forbes, the magazine publisher who wanted to be
president, made it official Thursday, he is dropping out of the
race for the Republican presidential nomination. Mr. Forbes told
supporters and reporters at a Washington hotel he is endorsing
Bob Dole for president, but will continue to push for many of the
ideas he talked about in his campaign, especially tax reform.
   Steve Forbes may have been quitting the 1996 race for the
White House but his supporters were upbeat, already looking ahead
to the next election with chants of "Steve in 2000."
   But for this year, Mr. Forbes is facing political reality.
Senator Bob Dole is well on his way to the Republican
presidential nomination with more than 700 of the 996 delegates
he needs to be the Republican nominee. Steve Forbes has only
one-tenth of Senator Dole's delegate total. Following two weeks
of Dole sweeps in fifteen primaries, he and his advisors agreed
it was time to quit:
   "The task is still to be completed about the fundamental
direction our party will take and our country will take. But I
will do everything I can in the days, weeks, months and years
ahead to move the debate forward in a positive, dynamic,
pro-american, inclusive way."
   Mr. Forbes says he will continue to push his ideas for a flat
tax, tax reform which would establish a single rate for all tax
payers regardless of income. He also wants to instill a more
optimistic, upbeat message in the Republican platform centering
on more personal freedom and responsibility and less interference
from the federal government.
   Steve Forbes will be well remembered in this campaign for his
negative television advertisements aimed at Senator Dole. Those
ads hurt Senator Dole in many of the early primary states. But
Mr. Forbes wanted to put all of that behind him Thursday as he
endorsed Senator Dole for president:
   "And in a democracy the candidate who wins the most votes
wins. It is that simple. So I will now support senator Dole
wholeheartedly as he prepares to engage Bill Clinton in the
critical election this November."
   Senator Dole should clinch the Republican nomination with a
victory in the California primary on March 26th.
   He is also expected to win all four Midwestern primaries next
week thanks in large part to governors like John Engler of
Michigan, who met with Republican congressional leaders at the
capitol Thursday to discuss strategy for the upcoming general
election campaign:
   "He (Dole) is in pretty good shape in Michigan. I think that
Bob Dole is going to win Michigan, I think he is going to win all
four of the big ten primary states next Tuesday. And I think the
energy that I will have in large part will be devoted to how do
we win in November. That is the key issue not, at this point,
what the ratios (of victory) are in some of the primaries that
remain."
   Governor Engler is also one of several possible vice
presidential selections for Senator Dole who is now turning his
attention away from the Republican nomination fight to the fall
campaign against President Clinton.
   Despite the Forbes withdrawal, commentator Pat Buchanan
remains in the race and is vowing to campaign all the way to the
Republican Party convention in San Diego in August.
   ---------------

   ---------------
   U.S. OPINION ROUNDUP: STEVE FORBES DROPS OUT

   ANDREW N. GUTHRIE
   WASHINGTON

   The Republican presidential primary race lost another
contender when millionaire magazine publisher Malcolm S. "Steve"
Forbes dropped out Wednesday. The candidate, who spent his own
money and refused to take public funds for his campaign, threw
his support to Senator Bob Dole.
   Mr. Forbes won primary elections in Delaware and Arizona, and
briefly rocketed to the nation's attention with huge expenditures
on television commercials promoting his flat tax proposals.
   However, as criticism against him mounted, he fell just as
quickly, and ended up with just 76 delegates to show for the
approximately 30-million dollars he spent on his campaign.
   Mr. Forbes, the eldest son of magazine publisher Malcolm
Forbes, had never held public office before. But by spending
heavily and early on television and radio commercials, he had
been able to thrust himself into the forefront of the Republican
presidential campaign. As "The Los Angeles Times" puts it in its
withdrawal story, "early in 1996, [Mr.] Forbes surged to the top
of the polls in New Hampshire; time and Newsweek magazines even
placed him on the cover in the same week. But [Mr.] Forbes fell
as fast as he rose. His rivals intensified their fire on the flat
tax, charging that it would increase the federal budget deficit,
hurt housing values and soak [burden] the middle class to benefit
the rich."
   "The Boston Globe" compared Mr. Forbes with the amazingly
Unsuccessful Ford Motor Company car of the late 50s, the Edsel:
   "Like interest in the Edsel, initial enthusiasm for Forbes was
a creation of advertising. His name recognition rose high in the
early New Hampshire polls because so many people had seen his
television ads. But people know that even if they like an ad,
they might not buy the product. Early polls are an imperfect
guide to an election outcome.  In an age when advertising seems
ubiquitous, the failure of his campaign shows that voters like to
kick the tires before going for a ride with an inexperienced
candidate for the most powerful office on earth."
   The financial daily, "The Wall Street Journal" was quick to
point out that he did make a positive contribution:
   "Steve Forbes gracefully bowed out of the Republican
presidential race, but with his long-shot [something with little
chance of success] campaign over it has already had an impact.
The content and substance he brought into the race filled a
vacuum that otherwise might have been filled in far less
wholesome ways. By January, Mr. Forbes had put economic growth at
the center of the race and was dominating the terms of debate. 
At that point, his Republican rivals decided not to absorb some
lessons from his surge, but to savage his impeccably free-market
agenda.  The most important contribution of the Forbes campaign
was to offer an alternative to Mr. Buchanan for anti-Washington
protest votes.  Mr. Forbes did a big favor for his ideas, his
country, his party and potentially, if Bob Dole and his advisers
draw the right lessons, for the opponent who won."
   In the southwest, "The Houston Chronicle" agrees:
   "The expensive but quixotic presidential campaign of Steve
Forbes accomplished at least two of its objectives. It won a
significant following for simpler, lower and flatter income
taxes, and it made a virtually unknown publishing heir a
household name and magazine cover boy overnight. [Mr.] Forbes'
monotonous support for his 17-percent flat tax proposal accounted
for his early wins in Arizona and Delaware [But] that single
notion proved too weak to sustain a national race when the time
came for Republicans to rally around the front-runner."
   In the east, "The New York Times" calls Mr. Forbes campaign
"abrasive," adding:
   "As for the flat tax, [his principal campaign theme] Mr.
Forbes took an adventurous idea and mangled it. He insisted on
fencing off income from dividends and capital gains from
taxation. Even conservative Republicans quickly saw this as a
ploy to protect the fortunes of those who share Mr. Forbes's
skill at inheriting money."
   But across town, "The New York Post" says the millionaire
publisher should be pleased with his campaign effort.
   "... He has every reason to feel good about his initial foray
into national politics. [Mr.] Forbes was able to thrust the issue
of economic growth to the forefront of the Republican debate. he
also served as the GOP's staunchest champion of the politics of
optimism and opportunity. In this sense ... He seemed to be
Ronald Reagan's truest heir."
   In the nation's capital, "The Washington Post" says the Forbes
campaign taught an important lesson about the value of money in
an election bid:
   "...The questions Mr. Forbes's candidacy raised about unequal
access to the electoral process are troubling. His defeat may
have shown that 'the American people are not for sale,' as Mr.
Forbes said yesterday, but he certainly managed to rent our
attention for a time... It also should not be forgotten that his
campaign... Bowed to no one in the savagery of his negative
advertising. He nearly did in [killed the candidacy of] senate
majority leader Robert Dole..."
   Lastly, on Long Island, "Newsday" borrows a line from the most
popular rock and roll band ever, to sum up how it feels about
Steve Forbes ill-fated bid:
   "The Beatles said money can't buy you love. Steve Forbes has
now found out it can't buy a presidential nomination, either.
That's good news for America's political system. [Mr.] Forbes
seemed bright and decent. He should consider starting out at a
more appropriate level, such as a state legislature."
   And that concludes our sampling of editorial reaction to the
announcement late this week that magazine publisher Steve Forbes
was withdrawing from the Republican primary race for president.
   ---------------

   ---------------
   VICE PRESIDENTIAL SWEEPSTAKES

   DAVID SWAN
   SENATE

   U.S. Senate Republican leader Bob Dole has virtually locked up
the party's nomination for president by sweeping several rounds
of primary elections. He is already turning his attention away
from other Republicans and toward the coming race against
President Clinton. This means he needs to pick a running mate.
   It's sometimes called the vice-presidential sweepstakes, when
the candidate names a junior partner. The selection is usually
designed to balance the ticket, to pull in votes from a certain
state or region or compensate for the presidential hopeful's
weaknesses. The choice is made official at the party convention,
which for Republicans is still five months away. Senator Dole
says he is not talking to potential running mates just yet:
   "No, I think first I should have the nomination locked up, a
mathematical certainty and then we'll start talking about the
convention and how do we fund our little operation for the next
several months and things like that."
   But other people are talking, and perhaps not surprisingly,
the name Colin Powell is often brought up.
   Republican Senator Al D'Amato is one of his many admirers:
   "Colin Powell is a national hero. He's a man who has earned
his way to the top by hard work. He epitomizes, I think, the
great strengths of this country."
   Colin Powell, the former chairman of the joint chiefs and now
a best-selling author, was in the same position just last year.
For months, the candidates waited to see if the popular retired
general would run for president. But in November, he told the
nation he has no passion for politics. General Powell decided not
to enter the race, and flatly declared he would not run for
vice-president either.
   There is no sign General Powell has changed his mind, not from
him, his spokesman, his family or his friends. But Senator Dole
and others believe he would join the ticket if persuaded the
country needs him.
   Many political observers believe the general would give the
party a tremendous lift. Public opinion polls suggest he would
help Mr. Dole close the gap with President Clinton, and one
survey shows a Dole-Powell team would beat Mr. Clinton and
Vice-president Gore. General Powell could appeal to black,
independent or moderate voters who might otherwise support the
president.
   Senator D'Amato says he would bring Republicans and the
country together:
   "It's just my opinion that he would be a very unifying factor
in the body politics as a whole and he'd be a very strong running
mate."
   But choosing General Powell could also be costly. He favors
abortion rights, gun control laws, and affirmative action
programs for minorities. This puts him at odds with Mr. Dole and
much of the party, especially conservatives who already dislike
the senator.
   Commentator Pat Buchanan, the only other Republican still in
the race for president, says his followers will not accept
General Powell:
   "Why should conservatives support a vice-presidential nominee,
Mr. Powell, who first, only joined the Republican Party three
months ago, who is strongly pro-abortion, who believes in
affirmative action?"
   General Powell is far from the only possible choice for
vice-president. Mr. Dole could also pick another lawmaker or
perhaps more likely, the governor of a large state, to win votes
from that state and counter his own image as a Washington
insider.
   Michigan Governor John Engler is among those often mentioned.
He declines to comment on what he calls speculation:
   "Look, there's a lot of governors' names being mentioned.
There are a lot of very talented Republican leaders in this
country. I think there are a lot of success stories at the state
level and Bob Dole has, I think, the luxury of having a lot of
very fine options and he'll make a good decision."
   A presidential nominee's choice of a running mate is sometimes
seen as a bold stroke, as it was when Geraldine Ferraro became
the first woman on a national ticket. The process can also cause
trouble, as it did when George Bush selected Dan Quayle and then
had to fend off questions about his war record. It is not clear
which scenario would result if Senator Dole names Colin Powell.
   ---------------

   ---------------
   U.S. OPINION ROUNDUP: THE DOLE LANDSLIDE AND BEYOND

   ANDREW N. GUTHRIE
   WASHINGTON

   With his impressive victory in all seven Republican primaries
Tuesday, Senator Robert Dole of Kansas appears to have an
insurmountable lead in the Republican nominating process.
   Thursday, one of the last remaining candidates, millionaire
publisher Steve Forbes, dropped out. However, with victory all
but assured, Mr. Dole is now facing increasing scrutiny from the
nation's press about his message to the American public and his
vision of a Dole presidency.
   Kansas Senator Bob Dole has run for president twice before but
never survived the primaries. Now however, the 72-year-old
decorated World War II hero is virtually assured the nomination
at the convention in August. One of his two main remaining
rivals, publisher Steve Forbes announced his withdrawal from the
campaign Thursday.
   With the main rivals virtually set for the fall presidential
campaign, the nation's daily papers are beginning to scrutinize
Mr. Dole's message. We begin in the far northwest, with "The
Oregonian" in Portland:
   "[Senator] Dole needs to recognize that while his experience
in the senate gave him the edge against less-experienced
Republican rivals, he now is running against someone with
on-the-job experience [president Clinton]. [Mr.] dole's senate
past is prologue; his potential presidency is what he should look
to now. He needs to start talking about the job he's seeking, not
the one he has."
   "The Sun" in Baltimore, Maryland's largest daily, is urging
Mr. Dole's handlers to "let Dole be Dole":
   "The Republican strategy should be to 'let Dole be Dole.'
Among those who would know him best, his colleagues in the U.S.
Senate, that is enough to engender respect. He has an
authenticity that stands in favorable contrast to the artifice of
the essential Clinton. The White House is winnable for the Kansas
senator, provided he remains true to himself."
   In Florida, "The Miami Herald" declares the fight for the
Republican nomination all but a formality, while agreeing with
the one remaining major candidate, Pat Buchanan [black
conservative radio talk-show host Alan Keyes of Maryland and
California Congressman Bob Dornan are still declared candidates],
that so far, the Dole campaign has not been sufficiently
inspiring:
   "Mr. Dole has 36 years of experience in Washington, but what
does he really stand for? Polls suggest that not even the
Republicans who voted for him could tell you. That's worrisome,
especially in light of the circumstances. Mr. Dole not only has
been in the spotlight for decades, he recently has had chance
after chance to clarify the message of a political party rich in
ideas.  Welcome to the hot seat, Mr. Dole; you're not in Kansas
any more." [That last comment, an oft-repeated remark referring
to the great U.S. motion picture hit of all time "The Wizard Of
Oz." In it, the Kansas farm girl dorothy is blown into oz
(actually her subconscious) by a tornado, and at one point
remarks to her dog Toto, "I guess we're not in Kansas anymore."
It is used to refer to people bering or appearing disoriented, in
this case Senator Dole, in the campaign].
   In Maine, Portland's "Press Herald" is concerned about Pat
Buchanan's refusal to retire from the race, despite his
continuing losses at the polls:
   "It's time for candidates and rank-and-file Republicans alike
to ask some tough questions. [Mr.] Forbes is doing so already. 
[Mr.] Buchanan, for his part, chooses to ignore the race coming
to a finish around him. 'why give up a battle of ideas simply
because you're behind in delegates?' [Mr.] Buchanan asked
Wednesday. Answer: Because a party is a nominating device, not
merely a soapbox."
   "The Wall Street Journal" says now, with his big lead, is the
time for Senator Dole to incorporate some of his opponents' best
ideas:
   "So far, Mr. Dole has sent out conflicting signals as to how
much he will try to incorporate the legitimate concerns of Forbes
and Buchanan voters. But a reading of the primaries' exit polls
suggests he ought to start considering it."
   "The Washington Post" had this reaction to the super Tuesday
results:
   "Well, here it's only mid-March and it looks as if both
parties have already picked their presidential nominees. Bill
Clinton and Bob Dole are both professionals. They are schooled in
and understand the techniques of politics and governing alike.
They have some basic differences but there also are some areas in
which, to the alternating consternation of the outer wings of
their own parties, they agree. The question is what kind of
campaign they conduct. They can spend the next seven months
exchanging slogans or they can have a serious and substantive
exchange over the right policy course for the country on a dozen
different questions. The likely nominees could roll up their
sleeves, have at it and perhaps even do a little business in
those areas what is loosely called 'govern.'"
   Finally comments from "The Saint Louis Post Dispatch"
regarding the unrelenting candidacy of former television
commentator Pat Buchanan, who is resolutely refusing to bow out:
   "Mr. Buchanan claims he is engaged in a battle of ideas about
the future direction of the country, and there is no denying that
he alone has called attention to the pervasive sense of
insecurity that has been engendered by massive layoffs at major
corporations, laytoffs that, perversely, earn huge bonuses for
executives and send the dow-jones [stock market financial index]
skyrocketing. Though he has sounded the alarm, he offers
scapegoats instead of answers. He wants to keep foreigners and
foreign-made products out of the country, halt government
programs that promote opportunity for minorities, stop women from
having abortions no matter what the reason, and even halt the
teaching of evolution."
   With that assessment of one of his last rivals, we conclude
this sampling of editorial opinion on the candidacy so far, of
Kansas Senator Bob Dole.
   ---------------

   ---------------
   TOBACCO MONEY IN POLITICS

   DON HENRY
   WASHINGTON

   Two studies released Thursday by consumer and health
organizations indicate the tobacco industry donated record
amounts of money to members of Congress last year. Major
anti-smoking groups say the industry was trying to buy opposition
to anti-smoking bills pending in congress, a charge the industry
denies.
   Separate studies by the independent common cause organization
and the nonpartisan U.S. public interest research group reached
the same conclusion, tobacco money was flooding into Congress
last year.
   The studies said tobacco industry donations to legislators
reached about four million dollars in 1995, twice the amount of
1993 and 20 per cent over 1994. Furthermore, contributions
shifted dramatically from Democrats to Republicans, who took
control of Congress in 1994.
   The studies noted that the spending increase also came after
President Clinton and the Food and Drug Administration proposed
various measures to regulate or clamp down on marketing and sale
of tobacco products, especially to youngsters.
   At a Washington news conference, Matthew Myers of the Campaign
for Tobacco-Free Kids said the studies indicate to him that the
tobacco industry is attempting to undercut both public health
efforts and the political process:
   "What is the tobacco industry trying to do with its campaign
contributions? The evidence is overwhelming, to buy influence and
persuade the legislature to oppose the president's and FDA's
efforts to limit the sale and marketing of tobacco products to
children."
   The industry has steadfastly denied that it targets
adolescents in its sales and marketing strategy. A spokesman said
the campaign for tobacco-free kids is insulting members of
Congress by alleging that their vote on any issue is for sale.
   But one member who does not accept tobacco contributions,
representative Marty Meehan of Massachusetts, said a second look
at the statistics may shed a different light on the matter.
   For example, the common cause study indicates 156 members of
Congress who signed a letter this year strongly opposed to
regulating tobacco marketing have averaged nearly three times
more tobacco industry contributions the past decade than members
who did not sign the pro-tobacco letter.
   Moreover, Congressman Meehan says the studies document a
dramatic shift in tobacco industry political action committee
contributions to Republicans in 1995 after they took control of
Congress. Republicans got more than two million dollars, four
times the 1993 amount. Democrats got about a quarter of a million
dollars, down from nearly half a million in 1993:
   "Clearly these studies illustrate at a minimum the appearance
of decisions not being made on the merits because of the
correlation between who signed a letter in favor of not having
regulation of tobacco products for children and who didn't sign
it. When you look at Democrats when they were in power and (see)
the shift in PAC (political action committee) money from tobacco
companies to Republicans, I think the evidence is that there is
clearly an appearance of corruption, if nothing else."
   The studies include political action committee donations made
directly to candidates as well as so-called soft money,
contributions made to political parties which then re-allocate
the money to individual candidates.
   The tobacco industry says it resents what it calls this effort
to censure legitimate donations. Furthermore, it says Phillip
Morris and RJ Reynolds donations, for example, represent not only
tobacco but a large variety of other products and thus the
statistics are misleading. A public interest group official says
this conclusion is ludicrous because tobacco and not cookies or
household goods, is at the center of debate in Congress and is
the reason for the donations.
   The campaign for tobacco-free kids is urging all members of
Congress and state legislatures to pledge not to accept tobacco
money and is calling on all Americans to demand this of their
elected representatives.
   The anti-tobacco news conference was held a day after Liggett,
one of the smaller major tobacco firms, agreed to settle product
liability claims against it in a lawsuit brought in behalf of a
large number of affected people. This is the first crack in what
had been industry unanimity in resisting settlements in court.
   ---------------

   ---------------
   CAMPAIGN '96 STATUS REPORT

   JIM MALONE
   WASHINGTON

   One less presidential contender and Senator Bob Dole's
near-certain March to the Republican presidential nomination
highlight this week's U.S. political news.
   Magazine publisher Steve Forbes ended his presidential
campaign Thursday after a disappointing two weeks of primaries in
which he finished no better than second:
   "People say that I spent a lot of money in this campaign. And
it is true. Being of Scottish descent, it was not easy to do. But
let me tell you, I believe that I made the best investment any of
us can make, I tried to make my country a better, stronger and
finer place and I will continue to work for that."
   Mr. Forbes says he will continue his efforts to push his
so-called flat tax proposal which would establish a single rate
for all taxpayers. And he also endorsed his longtime rival for
the Republican nomination, Senator Bob Dole.
   The Forbes withdrawal leaves only Senator Dole and Pat
Buchanan in the race among the major Republican contenders.
Senator Dole should clinch the Republican nomination with a
victory in California's primary on March 26th.
   The Dole campaign is already shifting its focus to the general
election battle with President Clinton. But Pat Buchanan says he
will remain in the Republican race all the way to the party
convention in San Diego in August in a bid to maximize his
influence on the party platform and on Mr. Dole's selection of a
vice-presidential running mate.
   As for the presumptive nominee, Senator Dole appears confident
and relieved following an intense five weeks of primary and
caucus battles. But some political analysts still question
whether he will be able to impart an effective and compelling
political vision to American voters in the general election
campaign.
   Fred Barnes, political commentator and editor of the Weekly
Standard Magazine, says:
   "But for the general election campaign, I think we are going
to have to see Dole with a stronger message. It does not have to
be a vision or anything. But he does have to have an agenda for
America. What is he going to do about the economy? What does he
want to do differently in foreign policy? How does he feel about
the various values and social and cultural issues? What is he
going to do on those? And that is not clear yet."
   Another analyst, political consultant Stuart Rothenberg, says
Senator Dole needs to concentrate first on uniting the Republican
party before he begins the process of shaping an overall
political agenda to run on in the campaign against incumbent bill
Clinton:
   "I think he understands that you have to talk about some
themes, some values in order to give people a reason to vote for
you, especially if they already want to vote for you. I think he
can unify the party not by talking about particular themes but by
making the race a referendum on Bill Clinton. He has to do that.
That is the way you unify Republicans."
   Delegate selection through Republican primaries and caucuses
will continue into June but the battleground for the 1996
presidential election is about to shift from the hinterlands to
Pennsylvania avenue here in Washington.
   At one end, President Clinton in the White House is determined
to run against what he sees as an extremist agenda from the
Republican party. At the other end of Pennsylvania Avenue, under
the great dome of the U.S. capitol, is Senate majority leader Bob
Dole, equally determined to become the next president and now
preparing for several months of political skirmishes with the
White House over the budget, welfare reform and host of other
domestic issues.
   ---------------

   ---------------
   PRESIDENTIAL RACE GOES FROM "SUPER TUESDAY" TO "RUST BELT TUESDAY" 
   By Stuart Gorin

   Following his second consecutive sweep of primary elections --
first on "Junior Tuesday" and then on "Super Tuesday" --
Republican presidential candidate Bob Dole now turns his
attention to the American Midwest and the races in the so-called
heavily industrialized "Rust Belt."
   The March 19 contests will be in Illinois, Michigan, Ohio and
Wisconsin, where once again, the Senate majority leader holds a
commanding lead in the polls.
   Actually, the designation "Super Tuesday" is a misnomer this
year as it only involved seven states March 12, even though their
combined delegate totals, 362, is the largest number for any
single day during the primary season. In 1988, the Super Tuesday
balloting involved primaries in 14 states.
   Now that Senate Majority Leader Bob Dole seemingly has the
Republican presidential nomination assured, he has been turning
his campaign rhetoric away from his Republican challengers toward
President Clinton, including comments on the president's foreign
policy record. Dole's advisers say he hopes to expand on this
theme in the coming months.
   While Dole has endorsed the administration's measures to warn
China against putting military pressure on Taiwan, the majority
leader also expressed his belief that China is "testing" Clinton
because of his "rather flexible policy" of the past three years.
"If necessary," Dole said, the United States would "protect the
safety" of Taiwan against any Chinese attack.
   Dole also said the United States does not have much to show
for its $2,500 million investment in Haiti, and he was critical
of the administration for what he called lax enforcement of the
NAFTA free trade agreement with Mexico and Canada.
   According to a recent Washington Post-ABC News public opinion
poll, however, if the general election were held now rather than
in November, Clinton would easily defeat Dole or any other
Republican, regardless of the scenario. The president led Dole
among registered voters in the survey, 56 percent to 39 percent,
with the rest undecided.
   But the Washington Post pointed out that many Democrats
believe a campaign against Dole will be "much tougher than it
looks now," because the senator's "moderation, his Washington
experience, his unexcitable personality," which are considered
"weaknesses" in the primary campaign, will be transformed into
"strengths" in the general election.
   Regarding the vice presidential spot on the Republican ticket,
Dole said he has only thought about it thus far "in a loose way,"
and "the slate is wide open."
   One potential running mate that has received wide press
speculation is General Colin Powell, who has insisted he is not
interested in the job. But that did not stop Dole from stating
earlier that the retired chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff
would be on his list of possibilities.
   Many public opinion surveys have shown that Dole would improve
his own standing against President Clinton with a Dole-Powell
ticket. But Powell does support abortion rights, an anathema to
presidential hopeful Pat Buchanan, who promises to lead a revolt
at the convention if Dole selects the general.
   There has also been media speculation on a number of state
governors as possible running mates, including John Engler of
Michigan, Tommy Thompson of Wisconsin and Christine Todd Whitman
of New Jersey.
   Following are specifics of the March 19 primaries:
   -- Illinois: open to all registered voters; 69 Republican
convention delegates; direct election. Dole claims the support of
Governor Jim Edgar and much of the state's Republican
establishment. A WLS-TV poll shows Dole ahead of Buchanan by
better than a two-to-one margin.
   -- Michigan: open; 57 Republican delegates; proportional
representation. Governor John Engler has been attacking
Buchanan's trade stance but remains neutral in the race. A
Detroit News poll showed Dole with a better than three-to-one
margin over Buchanan, but the conservative commentator scheduled
a number of campaign stops in the state and will attempt to
embarrass Dole by winning a number of delegates.
   -- Ohio: open; 67 Republican delegates; winner-take-all by
state and districts. The Ohio Poll showed Dole favored by 62
percent of the respondents, compared to 13 percent for Buchanan
and 10 percent for Forbes, but nonpartisan political observer
John Green said Buchanan's trade and abortion views are well
received in the state's blue-collar and Roman Catholic voting
bases.
   -- Wisconsin: open; 36 Republican delegates; winner-take-all
by state and districts. Dole has the support of Governor Tommy
Thompson. A Wisconsin Public Radio poll found that the issues of
top concern in the state are welfare reform, the federal deficit,
the economy and crime.
   ----------------

   ----------------
   FORBES, TAYLOR DROP OUT OF PRESIDENTIAL RACE

   After spending $30 million and $6.5 million of their own
money, respectively, without making any impact on the Republican
presidential race, two millionaire businessmen have ended their
quest, each with an endorsement of Bob Dole.
   Magazine publisher Steve Forbes, whose campaign issue was for
America to revert from a graduated income tax system to a flat
tax, insisted that he made "an enormous and positive
contribution" to the country's future. For his money, Forbes won
two primaries -- in Arizona and Delaware -- and 71 Republican
convention delegates, less than 10 percent of the 996 needed to
win the nomination.
   Tire magnate Morry Taylor gained about one percent of the vote
in the primaries in which he ran, but earned no convention
delegates. He said he originally entered the campaign believing
that a businessman was needed to run the United States more
efficiently.
   Taylor urged Dole's other rivals to withdraw as well, as did
Speaker of the House Newt Gingrich, who said of Buchanan: "The
longer Pat campaigns, the less effect he's going to have. He's
made his point, people understand his message. Now it's time to
be part of the team."
   ----------------

   ----------------
   CLINTON CONTINUES TO WIN ALL DEMOCRATIC PRIMARIES

   President Clinton, although he has yet to officially declare
his candidacy for reelection, continued to capture Democratic
primary victories on "Super Tuesday" without any serious
opposition.
   According to the Washington Times, the president now has more
than the 2,146 Democratic convention delegates necessary for the
party's nomination. Clinton is thus the first full-term incumbent
Democratic president since Franklin D. Roosevelt, the newspaper
said, to capture the nomination without a fight.
   ----------------

   ----------------
   CLINTON-GORE CAMPAIGN RELEASES FIRST TV AD

   The Clinton-Gore reelection campaign has released its first
television ad -- a 30-second appeal for strengthening America's
families.
   The ad draws upon sound bites from the president's State of
the Union speech, interspersed with scenes of family life, and it
challenges the Republican Congress to come up with a bipartisan
welfare reform bill "that will really move people from welfare to
work."
   While Senator Dole has nearly reached the $37 million limit he
can spend on campaigning, the president, from his fund-raising
and by virtue of having no primary opposition, is in excellent
financial shape. Additionally, under federal rules, the
Democratic National Committee also can spend up to $10 million
directly advocating Clinton's election, and even more funds on
advocating positions supported by the president without
mentioning him by name.
   ----------------

   ----------------
   PEROT QUIETLY BUILDING NEW PARTY

   Multi-millionaire businessman Ross Perot, who ran in the 1992
presidential election as an independent candidate and gained 19
percent of the popular vote, is quietly moving ahead with plans
to register a new independent political party, which he calls the
Reform Party, in all 50 states.
   According to Russ Verney, who is coordinating the effort, the
move is to "create a new opportunity" and Perot has not yet made
up his mind whether to run again himself. Most analysts believe
that four years ago, Perot drew more votes away from the
Republican ticket than he did from the Democratic one, allowing
Bill Clinton to win the election with a plurality of just 43
percent of the vote.
   Verney said Perot intends to hold a national convention in
late summer that will be open to all those who signed different
state petitions, and that the new party will then choose its
presidential and vice presidential nominees.
   Perot told the Washington Post his main issue is to reform
such federal programs as Medicare, Medicaid and Social Security.
He said he does not see either Pat Buchanan or Steve Forbes as
heirs to the votes of his supporters. He said Buchanan is too
belligerent toward the country's trading partners and "we don't
want to build a wall around America."
   ----------------

   ----------------
   GRAMM, COCHRAN WIN RENOMINATION TO SENATE

   Texas Senator Phil Gramm, who earlier in the campaign ended
his quest for the presidency, won renomination to his Senate seat
by a 10-1 margin over two Republican opponents March 12. His
Democratic opponent in November will be decided in April during a
runoff between the top two finishers in a four-way Democratic
primary.
   In Mississippi, Senator Thad Cochran won 95 percent of the
Republican primary vote in his bid for reelection, and will face
a Democratic retired factory worker in November.
   ----------------

   ----------------
   CAMPAIGN FINANCE LAW CHANGES SOUGHT IN HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES

   In a bipartisan effort, three members of the House of
Representatives are accusing the Republican leadership of
stalling on legislation to revamp campaign finance laws, and are
calling for immediate action to discuss the bill.
   Republicans Linda Smith of Washington and Christopher Shays of
Connecticut, joined by Democrat Marty Meehan of Massachusetts,
filed a petition to force an early vote.
   Several organizations have endorsed the move, including the
League of Women Voters, Public Citizen and Common Cause.
   The bill would give benefits to House candidates who agree not
to spend more than $600,000 on their campaigns, including less
expensive advertising rates. The measure also calls for the
elimination of campaign contributions from political action
committees.
   ----------------

   ----------------
   PUNDITS' PEARLS

   -- Washington Post columnist Jim Hoagland: "The Chinese
provocation joins other recent incidents in making foreign policy
a sleeper issue in this year's campaign. The Republicans have
been quick to seize on China's attempt to intimidate Taiwan,
Cuba's renewed brutality, Yasser Arafat's failure to control
Palestinian terrorism and the renewal of the Communist Party in
Russia as signs of ineptitude and inconsistency by Clinton in
foreign policy. Bob Dole's surge into a commanding lead for the
Republican nomination also casts the coming campaign along more
traditional lines, with the Republicans on the offense on
national security and gleefully questioning the 'toughness' of
the Democratic leadership."
   -- Rice University Professor Earl Black: "Buchanan's image of
the South is out of date. There is a very large middle class that
is desperate for respectability and wants to be part of the
nation. Talking about the Confederate flag and keeping women out
of the Citadel resonates with a minority of voters, but it is not
the behavior most of those voters want from a presidential
candidate."
   -- Syndicated columnist Walter Shapiro: "If there is any
rational justification for America's roller-derby system of
choosing a president (and it is getting pretty hard to defend),
it is that the race becomes a test of character and inner
strength. Even the most carefully crafted political veneers do
not survive more than a year of media scrutiny, countless Rotary
Club speeches, endless fund-raising phone calls and headlong
sleep-defying dashes across the country."
   ----------------

   ----------------
   EDITORIAL EXCERPTS

   From USA Today:
   "...With Tuesday's results, both Republicans and Democrats are
giving their 1996 presidential nominations to unabashed and
highly skilled career politicians; an incumbent president and a
two-time Senate majority leader who elsewhere might have been
prime minister a decade ago. Yes, the voters are fed up with
Washington and demonstrated it by trashing a president in 1992
and Congress in 1994. That frustration is powered by a sense that
the government is out of touch, driven by undue deference to
those with the loudest voices, the deepest pockets and the best
connections -- concerns with more than a germ of truth. But Bob
Dole and Bill Clinton are not two peas in the Washington pod.
Their philosophies and outlooks are quite distinct. And they have
policy differences from A (abortion) to W (welfare) and beyond."

   From the Wall Street Journal:
   "...The most important lessen from the primaries is that the
Republican Party remains profoundly tax-phobic. The number one
issue in the seven Super Tuesday states was taxes, cited by 22
percent of the voters. They gave Senator Dole 46 percent support,
with Steve Forbes coming in second with 36 percent. It would be
foolish for the Dole camp to disown the basic reform message of
the tax-reform blueprint put out by a commission Jack Kemp headed
at the request of Mr. Dole and Newt Gingrich."

   From the Baltimore Sun:
   "...The White House is winnable for the Kansas senator,
provided he remains true to himself. What his means in reference
to the flat-tax Forbes legacy is for Mr. Dole to steer clear of
the supply-side theories that wrecked the economic record of the
Reagan era."

   From the Lima (Ohio) News:
   "...That Republican voters are coming home to Dole says more
about the weakness of his opponents than the strength of his
campaign. Fortunately for Republicans, there's time for Dole to
craft a compelling conservative vision that can unite the party
with enthusiasm, rather than by default. Only then can he hope to
beat a president who is a skilled orator and masterful
campaigner."

   From the Washington Post:
   "...There is still much political maneuvering and shouldering
around and position-taking to occur, but it's also possible now
that in the post-Super Tuesday period we will begin to see the
shape at least of the general election to come. Bill Clinton and
Bob Dole are both professionals. They are schooled in and
understand the techniques of politics and governing alike. They
have some basic differences, having to do with cultural values,
the role the federal government should play in the society and
fiscal issues. But there also are some areas in which, to the
alternating consternation of the outer wings of their own
political parties, they agree. The question is what kind of
campaign they conduct."
   ---------------

   ---------------
   CAMPAIGN '96: CONSERVATISM - MAIN STREET OR WALL STREET?

   BARBARA SCHOETZAU
   NEW YORK

   Despite Senator Robert Dole's clear lead in the race for the
Republican presidential nomination, television commentator Pat
Buchanan and businessman Steve Forbes continue to challenge him.
The three men are campaigning across the United States, wooing
the conservative voters who play such an influential role in the
Republican party's nominating process The 1996 Republican contest
is increasingly revealing cracks in the coalition that once
brought conservatives to power.
   The leading candidates for the Republican presidential
nomination all call themselves conservatives. But they represent
diverse wings of the party, wings that are increasingly at odds
over the role government should play in regulating the economy
and in promoting social issues.
   For years the Republican party was identified with Wall
Street, the heart of U.S. financial interests, because of the
party's adherence to free market policies. After the second world
war, the party's staunch anti-communist position, and opposition
to tax increases and big government helped the Republicans
attract supporters from the growing middle class. Republicans
began campaigning as members of the political party that
best-represented the interests of the average middle class
American. Main street became as important to winning elections as
Wall Street.
   By the 1980s, the Christian right had entered into the party's
power structure. The Christian right is more concerned with
social and moral issues such as abortion and school prayer than
economic issues. Peter Lawler, who specializes in political
philosophy at Berry College in Georgia, recently pubLished a
lengthy article about the many nuances among conservative groups
today. But essentially, he says, there are three main and often
contrasting streams of conservative thought:
   "One would be the old-fashioned country-club Republican, the
'responsible' Republican in quotes like Bob Dole who primarily
worries about the deficit. Wall Street likes him but he is not
Wall Street. Then you have the more libertarian, optimistic
Republican who really has great confidence in economic growth to
solve every conceivable social problem. In the article I wrote I
called these guys the "techno-optimists." They are, as Steve
Forbes says, the "hope, growth, and opportunity" people. These
people really put a great deal of hope in freeing up the economy
and unleashing entrepreneurial energy and, of course, Wall Street
cannot help but like programs of deregulation, flat tax and so
forth. The third part of the party though, the social
conservatives, these tend to be little guys, ordinary people in
the south and the west, ethnic Catholics. They are not interested
in the economic issues at all. They are primarily interested in
moral decline. In fact, they are almost anti-libertarian because
they see that the rapid technological change, people being
uprooted and so forth, has really affected their lives
negatively. They started to notice that the rich are getting
richer and they are not really sharing in the general prosperity
and Pat Buchanan is exploiting their resentment."
   In Pat Buchanan many of these voters have found a voice that
speaks loudly and clearly for their cause. But it is a voice that
veers far left of traditional Republican economic policy.
   Republican political consultant Stephen Salmore says Mr.
Buchanan combines social conservatism with populist economics as
he rails against Wall Street, corporate America and free trade,
especially the North American free trade agreement between
Canada, Mexico, and the United States:
   "Republicans have been a consistently free trade party. Ronald
Reagan was a free trader, certainly Newt Gingrich and the
Republican majority who passed NAFTA are free traders. The
Democrats, on the other hand, have had a much stronger
protectionist element. Buchanan is very interesting because he
combines social conservatism with economic populism which really
has not been seen in the Republican Party before."
   Professor Salmore suggests Mr. Buchanan might fare better in a
general election than he has in the Republican primaries because
he can attracts the votes of the the so-called Reagan Democrats,
socially conservative, working class Democrats who deserted the
party to vote for Ronald Reagan.
   Many political analysts compare Mr. Buchanan's economic
message to that of William Jennings Bryan, the fiery populist who
was the presidential nominee of the Democratic Party at the turn
of the century. Mr. Byran was an evangelical Christian who tried
to build a political alliance of the economically displaced and
politically disaffected.
   Michael Lienesch (len-ish), political science professor at the
University of North Carolina at chapel hill, is the author of
"redeeming America", a book about the new Christian right." He
says Pat Buchanan's conservative credentials are beyond question:
   "In American life, conservatives do not just protect the past.
They also point toward the future. Pat Buchanan is in some ways a
classic traditional conservative. I think his Catholicism, he is
a very devout Catholic, has predisposed him to be a preserver of
tradition. At the same time, he very much looks ahead. He makes
very strong arguments, some of which are libertarian, some are
moralistic. He wants to see American society strong, which means
going in an almost nostalgic way back to the strong families of
the 1950s or even before that to the often ethnic Catholic
families of the early 20s. I think in other ways he wants to see
American politics rebuilt from the ground up. I think he wants to
see much more emphasis on local control. I think he wants the
federal government to become less important and local and state
politics become more important. I think in all of those ways he
is an American-style conservative."
   Several years ago a group of prominent Republicans banded
together to form a group called empower America. Often dubbed
"bleeding heart" Republicans, this group sticks to fiscal
conservatism while rejecting many of the social issues of more
conservative members of the party. For example, leaders of the
group such as former cabinet officials William Bennet and Jack
Kemp, vehemently criticize anti-immigration legislation supported
by some Republicans. Stephen Salmore says they are the real heirs
to Ronald Reagan:
   "Steve Forbes comes out of the empower America, Ronald Reagan
supply side, the way you get America going again is to get the
government out of the economy, that the tax code distorts
economic decisions, that if people were allowed to invest money
not on the basis of how their tax returns might look, but on the
basis of how they might make money they'd be more like to invest
in industries that might create jobs."
   But even within the Empower America group there are strains,
namely between those who are social conservatives and those who
believe government should not be involved in setting policies on
moral issues.
   Majority leader Robert Dole has courted the socially
conservative voters, who have considerable influence in many of
the state Republican Party organizations. But Michael Lienesch
says Mr. Dole is portraying himself as the candidate who can
bridge the gap between the social conservatives and the more
moderate wing of the party:
   "Bob Dole likes to represent himself as standing in the middle
between those two branches of the party. He reaches over into
main street and Wall Street. A great part of his campaign is
presenting himself as somebody who can represent both of those
wings at once."
   If, as expected, Mr. Dole becomes the Republican presidential
nominee, he will have to unite the disparate wings of his party.
He may also have to make some concessions in return for the
support of his rivals and their backers. Many of Mr. Buchanan's
supporters insist the party's current anti-abortion plank must
stay in the party platform. But will they also want some economic
policies that reflect Mr. Buchanan's populist concerns? Mr.
Forbes' backers want the party to move closer to his campaign's
flat tax proposal. But will they continue to support the party if
the Republicans take steps to increase the role of government in
social issues? These are issues the Republican nominee may have
to face before he can begin his race against Democrat Bill
Clinton.
   ---------------

   ---------------
   CHINA AND U.S. ELECTIONS

   DON HENRY
   WASHINGTON

   The U.S. branch of Amnesty International is hoping to inject
China's human rights record into the American presidential
campaign. The organization Wednesday urged President Clinton and
the Republican presidential candidates to take a forceful stand
on the issue.
   Human rights activist Ms. Kerry Kennedy Cuomo opened Amnesty's
Washington news conference with a demand that the men who are
seeking the U.S. presidency in this year's election respond to
the latest reports on human rights abuses in China:
   "As Chinese leaders seek to influence Taiwan's presidential
elections, now is the time for American leaders in our
presidential elections to make clear where they stand when it
comes to China. Are they with one fifth of the world's
population, or are they with their oppressors?"
   Ms. Cuomo, co-chair of Amnesty's USA Leadership Council, said
the Chinese military exercises near Taiwan are just the latest
indication that China tolerates no dissent and will use
intimidation tactics in pursuit of its goals.
   Ms. Cuomo and Amnesty USA deputy director Curt Goering
repeated details from Amnesty's annual report on Chinese abuses,
including accusations of executions, torture, widespread
imprisonment of dissidents, and repression in Tibet.
   Mr. Goering said global response to human rights abuses in
China has been limited to an occasional whimper of protest,
generally because trade relations with China get the most
attention.
   He said President Clinton, Secretary of State Warren
Christopher and Commerce Secretary Ron Brown have not taken
advantage of ample opportunities to speak out on human rights in
China:
   "Yet, not only have we not heard anything from the Clinton
Administration for far too long, neither have we heard anything
so far from the Republican candidates for president. Amnesty
International USA today is challenging both the Clinton
Administration and the Republican presidential candidates to
address human rights in China forcefully and as a matter of
urgency."
   Amnesty USA wants the White House contenders to talk about the
human rights impact on China's most-favored-nation trade status
when it comes up for review in June.
   Mnesty also wants President Clinton and the Republican
candidates to state their policy regarding human rights in Tibet,
and the imprisonment of such dissidents as Wei Jingsheng in
China.
   Mr. Goering conceded that it is an uphill struggle to focus
the attention of the American electorate on human rights abuses
halfway around the world. But he said amnesty USA's 300,000
supporters will keep pressure on presidential and other political
candidates this year to give the human rights issue a higher
profile.
   ---------------

   ---------------
   ASIAN-AMERICAN VOTER REGISTRATION CAMPAIGN GETS UNDERWAY

   PEGGY HU
   WASHINGTON

   Nineteen national Asian-Pacific American organizations
initiated the first nationwide voter registration campaign
targeted at Americans of Asian-Pacific descent, the National
Asian Pacific American Voter Registration Campaign, on March 13.
   "Our overall goal is to register nationwide as many eligible
Asian-Pacific American (APA) voters as possible, regardless of
party affiliation," Michael Lin, national president of the
Organization of Chinese Americans, Inc., said at a March 13 press
conference.
   Rep. Lucille Roybal-Allard (Democrat of California) praised
the initiative, saying that "this first-ever nationwide
registration campaign targeting the Asian-Pacific Islander (API)
community will help to ensure that the Asian and Pacific Island
Americans are politically empowered and involved in shaping the
course of our nation."
   "This timely initiative is especially critical in light of the
issues facing Congress today and in the future -- issues such as
family unification, discrimination by insurance companies based
on national origin, eligibility of immigrant students for
financial aid and other educational programs," she said.
   Rep. Patsy Mink (Democrat of Hawaii), chair of the
Congressional Asian Pacific Caucus, stressed the importance of
voter registration and active participation in elections.
   "If you study the statistics of the elections, you find that
people are elected to office by a very small margin -- 1 percent,
2 percent margins -- in many of our Congressional elections," she
said. At the same time, she said, at least 5 percent of roughly
65 Congressional districts are comprised of Asian-Pacific
Americans.
   "The implicit power of the vote and participation is quite
evident in the statistics that we have derived," she said.
   Roybal-Allard noted that "your vote doesn't only help to elect
more people, but through your vote you also have the power to
take out of office those who work against you and oppose you on
the issues that are important to your community."
   Delegate Robert Underwood (Democrat of Guam) pointed out that
during the 1994 elections, the margin of victory in 70 districts
was exceeded by the numbers of Asian-Pacific Americans in those
districts.
   "We can make a big difference in the candidates who are
actually elected to office," he said. "That's a very important
item of political power that needs to be articulated, and
understood, and utilized."
   Citing Census Bureau statistics, Mink estimated that 2.8
million Asian-Americans are eligible to vote, but only 1.8
million are registered.
   This leaves "about 1 million, or 35.7 percent, of eligible
Asian-Pacific American voters who are not registered," Mink said,
pointing out that this percentage of eligible but non-registered
voters is higher than that of any other minority group.
   At the same time, Mink said, registered Asian-American voters
have one of the highest percentages of voter participation.
   According to Democratic National Committee statistics, 890,000
of 1.2 million registered Asian-American voters participated in
the 1994 elections -- roughly 76 percent.
   "Once the individuals are registered, they do go out to vote
and become an important part of our community," Mink said.
   Roybal-Allard noted that "Asian and Pacific Island Americans
have made significant national contributions to music, sports,
science, medicine, and law in this country.
   "This can only be enhanced, however, if the APIs continue to
get involved in political process and elect more Asian people to
office, and also to elect people who are going to support the
issues that are important to the Asian-Pacific Islander
community," she said.
   "It is through the power of the vote that the API community
will not only help to improve the lives of API communities, but
will help to improve the lives of all Americans in this country,"
she concluded.
   ---------------

   ---------------
   DOLE SWEEPS SUPER TUESDAY; CALLS FOR RIVALS TO WITHDRAW

   DAVID PITTS
   WASHINGTON

   As expected, Senator Bob Dole easily won all seven Republican
presidential primaries on Super Tuesday, and has urged his two
major remaining rivals for the nomination, Pat Buchanan and Steve
Forbes, to drop out of the race.
   "They've got to decide whether they want to beat Bill Clinton
or be spoilers," he said after winning the March 12 contests. He
now has about 75 percent of the convention delegates needed to
win the nomination.
   After the results were received, a defiant Buchanan said he
would still remain in the race until the Republican Convention in
San Diego, California. But Steve Forbes said that he must have a
"major breakthrough" in one of the primaries on March 19 in order
to stay in the race.
   In his victory statement in Washington, Dole concentrated
solely on the upcoming general election in the fall against
President Clinton. Dole promised Americans "a return to the
traditional values that made us strong" if he wins the nomination
and the presidency. As far as specific issues are concerned, he
promised lower taxes, a balanced budget and the appointment of
conservative judges to federal courts.
   With most of the votes tabulated, the Associated Press
reported the results as follows; the initial numbers are
percentages of votes:


-- Florida. Dole 56; Forbes 21; Buchanan 19; Keyes 2; Alexander 2. A
closed primary, meaning only registered members of the Republican
Party could vote; 98 delegates were at stake, winner take all.

-- Louisiana. Dole 48; Buchanan 33; Forbes 13; Keyes 3; Alexander 2;
Taylor 1. Also a closed primary; nine delegates were at stake, winner
take all. (Earlier in the year, 21 delegates had been selected in the
state's caucuses.)

-- Mississippi. Dole 61; Buchanan 26; Forbes 8; Keyes 2; Alexander 3;
Dornan 1. An open primary, meaning all registered voters, whether
members of the Republican Party or not, could vote; 33 delegates were
at stake, winner take all.

-- Oklahoma. Dole 59; Buchanan 22; Forbes 14; Keyes 2; Alexander 1;
Gramm 1. Closed; 38 delegates were the prize, winner take all.

-- Oregon. Dole 51; Buchanan 22; Forbes 13; Alexander 8; Keyes 3. Also
closed; 23 delegates at stake, allocated according to proportional
representation.

-- Tennessee. Dole 51; Buchanan 25; Alexander 12; Forbes 8; Keyes 3.
Open; 38 delegates at stake, winner take all or proportional
representation, depending on the precise outcome of the primary vote.

-- Texas. Dole 56; Buchanan 21; Forbes 12; Keyes 3; Alexander 3; Gramm
2. Open; 123 delegates were potentially available, winner take all or
proportional representation, depending on the precise outcome of the
primary vote.

   The total delegate count now stands as follows: Dole 727;
Forbes 76; Buchanan 70; others and uncommitted 35. A total of 996
is needed to nominate.
   CNN and American Enterprise Institute analyst Bill Schneider
said the primary results indicated that Dole is continuing to win
the support of mainstream Republican voters who are "satisfied
and optimistic." But he said Dole still lacks the support of
"angry voters," who could be a big factor in this year's
election.
   In remarks earlier in the day, Dole said he had made no
decision and had no discussions concerning a vice presidential
candidate, assuming he is the nominee. CBS News correspondent
Phil Jones reported that, according to his sources, retired
General Colin Powell "is watching to assess how he can serve the
country and the Republican Party." Powell, who is an African
American, is widely thought to be Dole's top choice. Schneider
underlined the importance of the vice presidential choice in
Dole's case since, if he is the nominee and if he were elected,
he would be the oldest president ever taking office.
   Although the news from the primaries is generally good for
Dole, the results of some recent opinion polls about his chances
of beating President Clinton are less reassuring. A just released
CBS News poll, for example, says that Americans favor Clinton
over Dole by a margin of 56 percent to 39 percent, if the
election were held today. Surprisingly, most Americans have more
trust in Clinton's handling of foreign policy than they would in
Dole's handling of it, according to the poll.
   Although Dole is increasingly ignoring his remaining primary
challengers and focusing on Clinton, important primaries are yet
to be held, particularly later this month. On March 19, in the
Midwest, primaries will be held in Illinois (69 delegates),
Michigan (57 delegates), Ohio (67 delegates), and Wisconsin (36
delegates). On March 26, Californians vote to award the biggest
primary prize of all, 163 delegates in a winner take all contest.
Primaries in Washington State (36 delegates), and Nevada (14
delegates) also occur March 26.
   ---------------

   ---------------
   DOLE WINS TEXAS

   JERRY MCKINNEY
   AUSTIN, TEXAS

   Senate majority leader Bob Dole's sweep of the seven states
holding primary elections included a big win in Texas, where the
most delegates were at stake.
   Bob Dole virtually swept aside his rivals in the voting on the
day that has become known as "Super Tuesday." The Kansas senator
easily won in all seven states over his two remaining major
rivals, conservative commentator Pat Buchanan and
multi-millionaire magazine publisher Steve Forbes.
   In Texas, Mr. Dole found a welcoming electorate. His campaign
in the state was minimal. But he had the support of Governor
George W. Bush, former President George Bush, both U.S. senators
from Texas and every other high-level Republican in the state.
That support, coupled with lack of enthusiasm for his opponents,
equaled an overwhelming Texas victory for Mr. Dole.
   George Bush and Mr. Dole at one time were bitter opponents on
the campaign trail. But the Bush family set aside any bad
feelings to make sure Pat Buchanan did not win the state. Mr.
Buchanan's challenge to the elder Bush in the 1992 presidential
primaries helped lead to Mr. Bush's defeat by Democrat Bill
Clinton.
   Another former rival also helped Mr. Dole win in the state.
Texas Senator Phil Gramm was, himself, a candidate for the
Republican presidential nomination until he dropped out last
month following poor finishes in early caucuses. After ending his
own campaign, Mr. Gramm endorsed Senator Dole. And, he campaigned
for Mr. Dole all across Texas.
   The "Super Tuesday" wins give Mr. Dole an
almost-insurmountable lead and will add strength to the movement
aimed at convincing the other candidates to quit.
   The victories also have sparked speculation as to who Mr. Dole
will name as his vice-presidential running mate.
   ---------------

   ---------------
   DOLE SAYS REPUBLICANS ARE CLOSING RANKS BEHIND HIM

   DAVID SWAN
   SENATE

   U.S. Senator Bob Dole says Republicans are closing ranks
behind him for the race to take the White House from president
Clinton. Mr. Dole jumped closer to the presidential nomination by
sweeping another round of primary elections.
   The Senate majority leader won all seven contests on the day
called "Super Tuesday."
   Mr. Dole topped his rivals by big margins, and picked up
another sizeable bloc of national convention delegates. He now
has more than two-thirds the total needed for the nomination. At
a victory rally in Washington, the senator was looking ahead to
the general election:
   "We already have begun to unite our party. Soon we will rally
our nation. And nothing, nothing will stand in our way when we
rally the nation and bring the voters together on November 5,
1996."
   First, Mr. Dole must finish the job of bringing the party
together. And conservative commentator Pat Buchanan vows to stay
in the race, despite losing all the super Tuesday primaries. In
some of those states, he won fewer votes this time than in 1992.
But in an NBC television interview, Mr. Buchanan said some
Republicans are still looking for a choice:
   "Bob Dole has no ideas. Fifty-percent of Republicans who voted
yesterday said he has no ideas. Into that vacuum someone is going
to move and we are moving right now, in terms of our ideas on
trade policy, immigration policy."
   Mr. Buchanan hopes his anti-free trade rhetoric finds an
audience in Midwestern states, where foreign competition has hit
U.S. industry hard and the next round of primaries will take
place. The voting is also pivotal for millionaire publisher and
political newcomer Steve Forbes, who also finished far behind Mr.
Dole Tuesday. Mr. Forbes says he will give up his campaign unless
he runs well in the Midwest:
   "In the upcoming primaries next week we must make a major
breakthrough in one of those Midwest industrial states. If not,
then this campaign will have to come to a conclusion."
   Whether or not his rivals bow out, Mr. Dole is likely to have
the nomination in hand by the end of this month. He must then
find a (vice-presidential) running mate and turn his attention to
President Clinton. Public opinion polls suggest the president
would easily beat Mr. Dole if the November election were held
today.
   ---------------

   ---------------
   CAMPAIGN '96: THE TWO-PARTY SYSTEM

   MARILYN SILVEY
   WASHINGTON

   As the current U.S. presidential campaign heats up, the focus
is on the candidates of the two major parties, the Republicans
and the Democrats. In the last election, four years ago, there
was a third candidate, Ross Perot, who says his new 'Reform'
Party will have a presidential candidate this November as well.
The two-party system has been strong in the United States since
the mid-1800s, and minor parties rarely survive.
   Unlike many countries of the world, the United States has
almost always had a two-party political system. Minor parties,
called 'third parties,' have arisen around a candidate or a
particular issue from time to time, but they have rarely lasted
very long.
   There are distinct differences in the emphases of the two
parties. American University professor Allan Lichtman says
Republicans stress individual freedom, while Democrats stress
equality:
   "Republicans believe in limited government, lower taxes, more
power to the states than the federal government, less economic
regulation, and more social regulation. The Democrats, in turn,
believe in limited social regulation, more economic regulation,
and more positive power to government to redistribute wealth and
regulate the economy."
   Frequently, humorous lists are published on how to tell
Republicans and Democrats apart. One printed in a Republican
committee newsletter includes, 'Democrats buy banned books.
Republicans form censorship committees and read them. On
Saturday, Republicans head for the golf course, the yacht club,
or the hunting lodge. Democrats get a haircut, wash the car, or
go bowling."
   Professor Lichtman says there are several reasons the American
two-party system is so stable. First, the United States does not
have a system of proportional representation; rather, it's a
'winner take all' system, so it's very difficult for a minor
party candidate at any level to win. Second, the two main
political parties are weak, broad coalitions, only loosely rooted
in the American social structure, and not tied to particular
ethnic, religious or other groups. And third, there are few
regulations on political parties, which have considerable freedom
to organize and raise funds. While no reference is made to
political parties in the constitution, the parties are subject to
the same 'freedom of speech and assembly' provisions as are all
citizens.
   Most third parties, Mr. Lichtman points out, only compete at
the presidential level, which is only one level of the political
process:
   "There are 500,000 elected offices in the United States. It
would be a monumental task in our winner-take-all system for a
third party to come in and be able to compete for even a small
fraction of those offices effectively."
   William Kimberling, of the U.S. federal elections commission,
agrees that a key reason for the survival and success of the
Republican and democratic parties is that they are decentralized,
and allow considerable room for both philosophical, and regional,
differences:
   "We really have parties based on the states. We actually do
not have two parties in this country, we have 100 parties. There
are 50 Democratic parties, and 50 Republican parties. They come
together only once every four years to choose a candidate for
president. But the parties of the states are different from one
another, even within the party. The Democratic Party of
Massachusetts is different from the Democratic Party of Alabama,
the Democratic Party of Iowa is different from the Democratic
Party of Minnesota."
   In this century, Mr. Kimberling says, political party
leadership has steadily weakened, especially the since the days
of the 'political bosses' of the 1920s, and parties now are less
important than they used to be in selecting candidates and
running elections. National party conventions, where presidential
candidates are nominated, were begun in an attempt to break party
bosses' power, and now presidential candidates are chosen through
a system of primary elections that has spread to most states. So
candidates' own campaign organizations are becoming more
important than party organizations.
   In the past 150 years, more than a dozen minor parties have
been organized in the United States. Some arose around a
particular candidate. Four years ago, Ross Perot received 19
percent of the total votes cast for president, the second highest
total for a minor party candidate in history, but his 'united we
stand, America' party disappeared after the election. Now Mr.
Perot is back with a 'Reform' Party, which he says will have a
presidential candidate in the election this November.
   Other parties have formed around a cause or ideology. The
communist, prohibition and libertarian parties are of this type,
and they sometimes list presidential candidates on some state
ballots. But few people take them seriously.
   Mr. Kimberling says Charles Darwin's concept of 'survival of
the fittest' definitely applies to political parties. He says
most third parties tend only to draw a few votes away from the
main candidates in a presidential election, and then collapse,
with the followers joining one of the two major parties. The last
'new' party to survive appeared 140 years ago, the Republican
Party, whose first presidential candidate was Abraham Lincoln, 
and it replaced the Whig Party."
   Ironically, public opinion polls show that most Americans
don't like the two-party system. But they're used to it, and
between 80 and 90 percent of Americans consider themselves
Republicans or Democrats, while only 10 to 20 percent call
themselves independent. Polls also show that American voters
believe political parties are necessary, they say parties
organize the competition and simplify voting choices.
   ---------------

   ---------------
   RELYING ON POLLS FOR POLICY MAKING

   BARBARA SCHOETZAU
   NEW YORK

   One of the leading pollsters in the United States, Daniel
Yankelovich, said Tuesday American policymakers are relying too
heavily on unreliable public opinion surveys.
   Mr. Yankelovich, an internationally recognized survey expert,
says polls have become influential because they have been used so
successfully in predicting election results. But he fears the
techniques used in election polling may be producing inaccurate
results in public opinion surveys of the way Americans feel about
political and social issues:
   "What is the difference between elections where the polls turn
out to be reasonably accurate and the issues? It is very simple
and straightforward. On issues there is no date certain when
people have to make up their mind. On elections, they have to
make up their mind by election day. So there is an artificial
factor and all the pollsters have to do is wait until the very
last minute."
   Too often, Mr. Yankelovich says, polls about issues such as
crime and taxes are conducted before people have had the
opportunity to seriously consider the issue and their own
feelings about it. This, the pollster says, accounts for much of
the volatility in recent American polls.
   Mr. Yankelovich says public opinion surveys on issues are
becoming more misleading all the time. He thinks two new trends,
widespread public frustration and media control of polls, are
affecting accuracy:
   "We are in an era where the public is uniquely frustrated and
disoriented. What they do when you ask them a question is they
start off by ventilating their feelings. If you ask people what
should we do about crime, the answer is 'lock them up and throw
away the key.' if you talk to people for a couple of minutes they
do not mean that. They know that prisons are breeding grounds for
criminals, that they are very expensive, and they go on to give
you a more reasoned point of view. But not when you first ask the
question because they need the opportunity to vent their
feelings."
   Mr. Yankelovich says ownership of polling organizations by
news media companies has worsened the problem. Polls, he says,
are usually expensive. Polls that probe more deeply to get
beneath frustration are even more costly. The media, Mr.
Yankelovich says, besides trying to save money, also strive for
simplicity when the public's reaction to certain issues is often
far more complicated.
   Mr. Yankelovich, the author of nine books on public opinion,
suggests several ways pollsters could increase the accuracy of
surveys about issues. One is to set up test groups before a poll
is conducted to determine how to ask questions that will best
reflect people's feelings. Another is to ask questions at the
beginning of a poll which will allow people to vent their
frustrations before going on to the more serious questions.
   Despite his concern about polling accuracy, Mr. Yankelovich
says polls perform an important function in a growing and complex
society by giving the public a voice:
   "We live in an era of subcultures. The media is its own
subculture. Lawyers and doctors and politicians... They talk to
each other. They sometimes talk together as elites but they
almost never engage in any real kind of dialogue with the public.
So you have a remarkable disconnect between leaders and the
public and when leaders want to know what the public thinks and
feel they have almost no other source to turn to but polls."
   Mr. Yankelovich spoke to members of the Carnegie Council on
Ethics and International Affairs, a private New York group.
   ---------------

   ---------------
   CLINTON CAMPAIGNS ON THE ENVIRONMENT

   DEBORAH TATE
   NEW YORK

   President Clinton used a campaign-style stop in the eastern
state of New Jersey to attack Republican efforts to roll back
environmental programs. Mr. Clinton toured a former toxic waste
dump, where federal clean-up efforts have come to halt because of
congressional budget cuts. The president announced a new
initiative aimed at spurring the private sector to clean-up and
develop former industrial waste sites.
   President Clinton went to Wallington, New Jersey to view an
abandoned toxic waste site and to hear the concerns of local
officials who believe the site poses health hazards to the 10,000
residents who live nearby.
   The former dump is one of many around the country, known as
'superfund' sites, where federal clean-up efforts have stopped in
the wake of congressional budget cuts for such operations.
   Later, at a speech in Hackensack, Mr. Clinton sharply
criticized the cuts, and vowed he would veto legislation that
would undermine the environment:
   "This is not a luxury, it is not an option, it is about
self-preservation, about the preservation of our children's
future."
   Although criticizing Republicans for cutting the Superfund
budget, Mr. Clinton signed a temporary spending measure late last
year that included cuts for budget.
   In an effort to keep the costs of superfund clean-ups down,
the president announced two billion dollars in tax breaks for
companies that clean-up and develop land that has been
contaminated by toxic waste.
   He says money for the initiative is included in his balanced
budget plan now before Congress.
   Public opinion polls show that Mr. Clinton has won political
points by opposing Republican cuts in environmental programs. It
is a theme he is expected to address with more frequency in this
election year.
   ---------------

   ---------------
   BUCHANAN WINS MISSOURI CAUCUS

   Republican presidential candidate Pat Buchanan has won the
first round of the Missouri caucus. With 95 percent of the 121
caucus sites reporting, Buchanan backers accounted for 35 percent
of the county delegates selected. Senator Bob Dole received 30
percent, Alan Keyes nine percent and Steve Forbes less than one
percent. Most of the remaining votes went to delegates
uncommitted to any presidential candidate.
   However, the Associated Press cautioned that the process in
Missouri is somewhat convoluted, and the results could swing back
to Dole's favor by the time Missouri's 36 convention delegates
are allocated at the state convention on April 13.
   Buchanan was said to have benefited from his strong stance
against abortion, especially in the St. Louis area. He called the
results "a breakthrough."
   ---------------

   ---------------
   CLINTON PLANS RE-ELECTION STRATEGY

   DEBORAH TATE
   WHITE HOUSE

   Now that Senate majority leader Bob Dole is emerging as the
likely Republican challenger to President Clinton in November's
general elections, the Clinton Administration is planning its
re-election strategy accordingly. Although Mr. Clinton leads Mr.
Dole in the latest public opinion polls, Clinton campaign
advisors are not taking anything for granted.
   What does Bill Clinton think about the idea of running against
Bob Dole in November?
   Mr. Clinton is keeping to his strategy of trying to look like
a president, not like a candidate. He ducks the question, and
focuses instead on the nation's business:
   "We ought to give it, i'm looking forward to getting
everything settled down here and getting back to work in
Washington. We need to go back to work. The main campaign we need
to be waging now is a campaign for peace at home, I mean, peace
abroad and prosperity at home. We have got a lot of work to do."
   But how well can Mr. Clinton conduct business with the man who
wants to unseat him?
   White House spokesman Mike McCurry says Mr. Clinton has no
problem working with Mr. Dole:
   "The president believes the election in November is eight
months away, and there will be plenty of time for campaigning
much farther down the road. But the president is the president,
and the majority leader is the majority leader. They have got to
work together to balance the budget, to reform welfare, to reform
health care, and they have got a lot of time left on the calendar
in 1996 to get that work done."
   That is what the administration is saying publicly.
   Privately, however, administration officials are beginning to
doubt that Republicans will want to work with the White House on
balancing the budget and other legislative business.
   Officials believe Republicans see a bigger political advantage
in portraying the president as an obstructionist rather than
trying to compromise with him on the budget and other issues.
   Senator Dole played to that theme after winning a string of
primaries last week, criticizing Mr. Clinton's vetoes of a number
of legislative items and calling on voters to 'veto' Mr. Clinton
in November.
   The administration, clearly prepared for this kind of attack,
responded quickly. According to Spokesman McCurry:
   "What the president vetoed were tax increases on the lowest
income working Americans. He vetoed rollbacks in environmental
protection that the American people expect of their government.
He vetoed the kind of cutbacks in funding for education and
technology grants that will keep this economy growing."
   Mr. Clinton has also begun airing television advertisements
promoting his efforts on welfare reform, even though he vetoed
Republican-sponsored legislation on that matter.
   The ads are airing unusually early in the campaign, but for
some Clinton officials, perhaps not early enough.
   A new public opinion poll shows Mr. Clinton's lead over Mr.
Dole has narrowed following the senator's recent primary
successes.
   A new CNN / time magazine poll released over the weekend
indicates the president has a 49 to 40 percent lead over the
majority leader, compared to a 52 to 39 percent lead last month.
   Leaders in the Democratic Party have been warning Democrats
not to take a Dole candidacy lightly, even though the youthful
Mr. Clinton is seen as a much stronger and more energetic
campaigner than the 72-year-old senator.
   In interviews with the Washington Post newspaper, Clinton
aides admit Mr. Dole has attributes that will play well against
Mr. Clinton, including character and maturity. These are themes
they believe Republicans will use against Mr. Clinton this year,
as they did in 1992.
   The president has begun taking a pre-emptive strike by
emphasizing values. He speaks about his efforts to help families
with children, parental responsibility and the fight against teen
pregnancy and illegal drugs.
   It is a theme he can also use to subtly suggest that he is
more in tune with the problems of today's generation than the
aging Mr. Dole.
   Mr. Clinton can talk about his own experiences with such
problems, as he did last week when he addressed the issue of
youth violence and drug use at a school outside Washington:
   "I have a real perspective, I think, about the whole drug and
crime and violence problem. I grew up in the 60's, and people who
were then your age just sort of got into this business. They did
not really believe drugs were dangerous until it nearly destroyed
our generation. I had a brother who nearly lost his life because
of a drug problem. I know a lot about this."
   Advisors also believe Republicans will try to portray Mr.
Clinton as one who makes decisions based on political expediency,
a charge his critics often express.
   The Clinton campaign is prepared to offset such charges by
recalling the president's tough and unpopular decisions on
restoring democracy to Haiti and peace to Bosnia-Herzegovina.
   The general election is still eight months away, as spokesman
McCurry notes. But the Clinton campaign is up and running, hoping
that by starting early, their man will have another four years at
1600 Pennsylvania Avenue.
   ---------------

   ---------------
   CLINTON WEST COAST CAMPAIGNING

   ART CHIMES
   CONCORD, CALIFORNIA

   Saturday is "Net Day '96" in California, when thousands of
volunteers will help wire classrooms and school libraries.
Corporate sponsors are paying for the materials and providing the
actual connections to the Internet.
   Volunteering alongside Mr. Clinton will be Vice President Al
gore, who is closely identified with the administration's
technology programs.
   A few weeks ago President Clinton spoke (in New Jersey, 2/15)
about how classroom technology can lead to better academic
performance, and how education is an investment in the future.
   Saturday's visit to a school near San Francisco, ties in
nicely with Mr. Clinton's first stop on this California trip.
   On Friday, Mr. Clinton visited an innovative stereo
loudspeaker company (Harman International in Northridge) near Los
Angeles, and noted last month's dramatic increase in U.S. jobs,
the biggest increase in 12 years. He said a total of more than
eight million jobs have been created since he took office three
years ago:
   "And let me put that in some sort of perspective for you. I
hear people say all the time that, well, even if we create new
jobs, they're not very good jobs. That's just not true. These 8.4
million jobs represent more new jobs than were created in all of
Europe and Japan combined. And increasingly, they are in
higher-wage industries."
   At a time of great anxiety among many middle-class Americans,
President Clinton is stressing the good news about the economy
something he hopes will help him on election day in November.
   While February's dramatic increase in new jobs was good news
for the president, Wall Street saw the news as anything but good.
The benchmark dow-jones industrial average plunged 171 points,
its third worst point decline ever. Investors figure that the
central bank, the Federal Reserve, is now less likely to
stimulate the economy by cutting interest rates, as had
previously been expected.
   ---------------

   ---------------
   TEXAS REPUBLICAN DEBATE

   JERRY MCKINNEY
   AUSTIN, TEXAS

   Three of the remaining candidates in the contest for the
Republican presidential nomination debated the issues in Dallas
Friday prior to next Tuesday's vote in Texas and other states in
the south. But Senator Bob Dole, who holds an almost
insurmountable lead, did not participate.
   Senator Dole had first told organizers of the debate he would
participate. When he withdrew consideration was given to
cancelling it. But a spokesman said the decision was made to go
ahead in the interest of fairness to the other candidates.
   Senator Dole has spent little time in Texas even though the
state will award the highest number of delegates in the voting
next Tuesday, which has become known as super Tuesday because so
many delegates are at stake.
   The three candidates who did debate were magazine publisher
Steve Forbes, conservative commentator Pat Buchanan and Alan
Keyes. Mr. Keyes remains in the race despite losing badly in
every state so far.
   There was no obvious winner. All three candidates share the
same views on most of the issues, including the need for the
United States to be firm in supporting Taiwan against any
aggressive action by China.
   Mr. Forbes led the way when he was asked what he would do as
president if China attacked Taiwan:
   "Well, I think that first of all you make clear as president,
first behind the scenes, to the Chinese government that we are
not going to tolerate them using force against Taiwan. To back
that up we should send the seventh fleet to the strait of Taiwan.
China the other day was found guilty of selling atomic weapons or
atomic parts to Pakistan. We should apply the full sanctions and
make clear to the Chinese we are applying those sanctions because
they are trying to use force against Taiwan."
   Mr. Forbes said the Clinton Administration has invited
aggression by China because it has not been firm in its
statements against such moves.
   The two other candidates agreed with Mr. Forbes, saying it
must be made clear to China the United States will stand by
Taiwan.
   Mr. Buchanan continued his tough talk on trade saying tariffs
should be imposed to equalize the selling cost of goods made in
Mexico and imported into the United States. He also pledged to
continue his quest to make abortion illegal in the United States.
   The three candidates were hoping to pull voters away from
Senator Dole who holds a commanding lead in Texas as he does
elsewhere. Mr. Dole has been endorsed by Texas Governor George W.
Bush, who is the son of former President George Bush. Mr. Dole is
also supported by Texas Senator Phil Gramm, who ended his
presidential campaign last month after losing badly in Iowa.
   ----------------

   ----------------
   LBJ VOTING RIGHTS MESSAGE 1965

   On March 15, 1965, President Lyndon Johnson urged the United
States Congress to immediately pass a bill that would, in his
words, "eliminate all illegal barriers..." That kept black
Americans from voting. The address, to a joint session of
Congress, came at the end of a week of nationwide civil rights
activity focusing on black voter registration. The country's
attention had been riveted on Selma, Alabama, where police had
brutalized peaceful demonstrators who were marching to protest
the city's restrictive practices to prevent blacks from voting.
President Johnson told the Congress:
   "It is wrong to deny Americans the right to vote. It is wrong
to deny any person full equality because of the color of his
skin. The promise of America is a simple promise: Every person
shall share the blessings of this land."
   President Johnson's voting rights bill proposed to eliminate
voting restrictions; it would provide federal officials to
register blacks to vote, if that right had been denied by state
or local officials. The measure would also assure that those who
were properly registered were not denied the right to vote.
   ----------------

   ----------------
   JACK RUBY: GUILTY 1964

   On March 14, 1964, a jury in Dallas, Texas, found Jack L. Ruby
guilty of the "murder with malice" of Lee Harvey Oswald, the
suspected assassin of President John F. Kennedy. The jury
recommended the death penalty for Ruby. The defense made no
attempt to dispute that Ruby shot Oswald in the basement of the
Dallas Municipal Building on November 24, 1963, as police were
moving the suspected assassin to a more secure jail. American
radio and television networks were broadcasting live from the
basement when Ruby darted from a crowd and shot Oswald.
   Jack Ruby insisted that his motive for shooting Oswald was
rage over the presidential assassination, but his defense lawyers
tried to prove that Ruby was insane, thus not legally responsible
for his behavior when he killed Oswald. In 1966, an appeals court
overturned the verdict against Ruby and ordered a new trial.
However, Jack Ruby died of cancer while awaiting the new trial.
   ----------------

   ----------------
   ROOSEVELT'S FIRST "FIRESIDE CHAT" 1933

   On March 13, 1933, President Franklin Roosevelt spoke directly
to the American people in a radio address from the White House.
Eight days after his inauguration Mr. Roosevelt talked about how
he intended to revive America's banking system that had become
crippled during the economic chaos of the opening months of the
great depression:
   "My friends, I want to talk for a few minutes with the people
of the United States about banking. To talk with the
comparatively few who understand the mechanics of banking, but
more particularly with the overwhelming majority of you who use
banks for the making of deposits and the drawing of checks. I
want to tell you what has been done in the last few days and why
it was done and what the next steps are going to be."
   The importance of the session was that for the first time, an
American president used radio to speak directly to the American
people seeking support for his policies. The 1933 broadcast
originated in the white House room where Mr. Roosevelt would make
most of the 28 radio talks that came to be known as "fireside
chats." The president would use easy, everyday language to
explain his policies and ask Americans for their support.
   ----------------

   ----------------
   THE TRUMAN DOCTRINE 1947

   On March 12, 1947, President Harry Truman announced a new
American foreign policy that called for containing communism. It
was the first serious attempt by the United States to prevent the
spread of communism in the so called "cold war." Mr. Truman
disclosed the policy in a speech to congress requesting funds for
Greece and Turkey so the two nations could overcome communist-led
insurgences. The policy came to be known as the "Truman
Doctrine":
   "I believe that it must be the policy of the United States to
support free peoples who are resisting attempted subjugation by
armed minorities or by outside pressures. I believe that we must
assist free peoples to work out their own destinies in their own
way. I believe that our help should be primarily through economic
and financial aid, which is essential to economic stability and
orderly political processes."
   The U.S. Congress agreed and voted to provide 400-million
dollars in aid to Greece and Turkey. The Truman Doctrine became
one of the foundations of U.S. foreign policy during the cold war
era.
   ----------------

   ----------------
   WORLD PRESS: AFTER WIN IN N.Y., MAJORITY LEADER MUST NOW UNITE GOP

   ROSE SUE BERSTEIN
   WASHINGTON

   Senator Bob Dole's sweep of all eight "Junior Tuesday"
primaries, along with his convincing victory in yesterday's New
York primary, led commentators overseas to shift their focus
toward assessing Mr. Dole's chances of prevailing over President
Clinton in November.  A British daily wondered about the "vision
thing;" a Norwegian observed that, like Walter Mondale in 1984,
Mr. Dole "will be equally beaten and bruised before he even
qualifies for the final race.  Then Bill Clinton will be waiting
for him, all rested and smiling."  Several papers in Europe and
South Asia insisted that the Republican convention in August
might still turn to Gen. Colin Powell to bolster its November
electoral fortunes.  However, Milan's centrist, top-circulation
Corriere Della Sera saw in Mr. Dole's resurgence confirmation
that America craves centrism.  The paper added that Mr. Dole's
challenge now was to "unify the Republicans and create a big
moderate right, where unhappy Democratic voters could also
converge, and to defeat Clinton, the most centrist president of
the second half of this century."  The liberal Toronto Star found
Mr. Dole a "weak" candidate, and warned that his "inability or
reluctance to define himself clearly...won't play well against a
president who's a master of the same art."  For its part, the
Australian Financial Review saw the likely Clinton-Dole contest
as a "battle of generations, personas and messages," but
maintained that despite Mr. Dole's "virtuous" character, Clinton
held the edge, especially after his success in the budget
impasse.
   While the majority of analysts saw the challenges facing Mr.
Dole as supremely daunting, a minority took pains to detail a
litany of woes that could befall Mr. Clinton on his way to
re-election, chiefly, that the economic recovery could implode,
that the Whitewater hearings could reveal damaging evidence or
that events in Bosnia, Russia or the Middle East could reflect
poorly on the president's foreign policy acumen and "melt down"
Mr. Clinton's current lead in the polls.  At the same time, a
considerable number of pundits continued to fret about the impact
of conservative journalist Pat Buchanan's popularity and to
speculate on how the Republican Party would accommodate the
hundreds of thousands of voters who had endorsed his
anti-internationalist and anti-free trade message by voting for
him in primaries thus far.  Many editorialists pounced on
economic security and employment opportunities as leading domestic
themes fueling Mr. Buchanan's support, but were troubled
nonetheless by the demonization of free trade policies.
Singapore's pro-government Straits Times huffed that "the effect
of Mr. Buchanan's betrayal of the Republican Party's historic
support for free trade would be to undermine, rather than
protect, American jobs, living standards and security," and that
the "Buchanan phenomenon stands for little short of disorder, at
home and abroad."  Some writers asked where the Democratic
answers to these blue-collar populist concerns were.
   Several dailies took the opportunity to comment on the U.S.
electoral system in more general terms.  In Brussels and Cairo,
papers fretted about the high cost of electioneering in the U.S.
Elsewhere, including in Italy and Indonesia, they extolled the
festive, democratic and educational nature of the primary
process, which allows the issues to develop and be shaped with
public scrutiny and participation.

   This report is based on 152 comments from 36 countries, Feb.
   23-Mar. 8.

   EUROPE

   GERMANY:  "Republican Race Over, Not So Presidential Race"

   Washington correspondent Kurt Kister said in centrist
Sueddeutsche Zeitung of Munich (3/7), "Dole's early success is
not so much linked to the fact that conservative voters think
that he will achieve a landslide victory over Clinton in
November....  But in comparison to Buchanan, Dole is an
experienced candidate who can win the support of the majority of
Republican voters....  It is certainly true that the chances for
Clinton's re-election are today as great as never before, but
among Buchanan's supporters, the president is hated.  If this is
the reason why the arch-conservative and moderate Republicans
gather around Dole in August, then the old fighter can stage his
last formidable battle.  A bomb attack on the Americans in
Bosnia, the deterioration of the economic situation, a cleverly
selected vice presidential candidate could melt down Clinton's
lead.  The race for the (Republican) presidential candidacy may
now have been decided, but not so the race for the presidency."

   "What To Do About Buchanan Supporters?"

   Manfred Rowold argued in an editorial in right-of-center Die
Welt of Berlin (3/7), "If Dole wins in New York, all obstacles
should have been removed from the path to San Diego and the
'Super Tuesday' next week should then only be a matter of form. 
But then Dole and the party will be confronted with the question
of how they can get the support of the approximately 30 percent
of Republicans who consider themselves Buchanan supporters but
were put in the extremist corner by the party establishment."

   "Call For Colin Powell Will Become Louder"

   Sueddeutsche remarked in an editorial (2/29) by Hans
Werner Kilz, "It sounds absurd and contradictory, but the longer
(Forbes and Buchanan) are in the race, the more secure can Bob
Dole be of the nomination.  Dole is the most plausible Republican
candidate...but he does not win the hearts of the Americans....
The Republicans are in a trap.

   "Come November, there will not be a vote on an alternative to

Clinton's policy.  In the United States, there is currently only
one political force:  The conservatism of the Republicans.  If
they want to be represented in the White House...Dole must do his
party a final, great service after 35 years of donkey work:  He
must give up his plan to run.  Then the way would be free for the
savior, at the latest at the Republican nomination convention in
the summer.  After the elections in the Dakotas, the call for
Colin Powell will become louder."

   BRITAIN:  "Wanted:  The Vision Thing"

   The liberal Guardian opined (3/7), "One thing has not changed
since 1988:  Mr. Dole still fails to convey a wisp of that much
prized commodity--the vision thing.  When asked on Tuesday to lay
out his plans for the future, he gave a memorable promise to 'sit
down and talk about (it)' when the election was over. Republicans
may vote for him because he is there, but such vacuous language
will not win over many of the undecided....
   "Mr. Buchanan's claim that it will, at all events, be Pat's
platform if not his candidacy, may be a final arrogant fling. But
Mr. Dole will no doubt trim even further on sensitive Republican
issues such as free trade, abortion and immigration. If he lacks
a clear message now, it is likely to be even more blurred by
convention time.  However it emerges, it is not likely to be an
attractive prospect for most America-watchers.
   "But if there is after all to be an upset in the final Big
Fight, it will be the results of blunders which Mr. Clinton may
commit rather than any brilliance from Mr. Dole."

   "Republicans Now Like Democrats Of 1970s, 1980s"

   The centrist Independent maintained (2/29), "The Republican
Party in the 1990s is increasingly like the Democrats of the
1970s and 1980s:  a rag-bag of scarcely connected single-interest
groups, incapable of making a coherent appeal to the broad plains
of middle America where presidential elections are decided.  Its
candidates have become electoral entrepreneurs developing
products designed to capture specific segments of the political
markets....  Now Gingrich's contract has been torn into pieces by
Forbes, Dole and Lamar Alexander and defaced by Buchanan's ugly
opportunism."
   "The presidential monopoly assembled by the Republicans has
fallen apart.  Worse, various parts of this coalition have begun
to eat each other....  And who will now be the Republican
standard-bearer in the autumn?  It is, quite honestly, anyone's
guess.  But, if you insist, our guess is that it will be a
battered, bleeding and all-too-beatable Bob Dole."

   FRANCE:  "Returning To The Center"

   Charles Lambroschini wrote in conservative Le Figaro (3/7),
"Republican voters are returning to the center.  There is no
other explanation for Bob Dole's sudden rise....  Now that Dole
is back in the saddle, the fight will be more balanced.  In
Congress since 1960, Dole will show that his experience is an
asset.  However, Dole's age is a handicap when compared to Bill
Clinton's 50 years.  Dole has the chance (to be nominated)
because, in the primaries, Republican voters no longer vote to
please themselves, they vote pragmatically.'"

   "Bob Dole Imposes Himself"

   Paul Sigaud reported from Washington in Catholic La Croix
(3/7), "While he looked hesitant and vulnerable up to now, Bob
Dole is rediscovering the ardor of a politician and a fighter's
wind."

   ITALY:  "Primaries Have Democratic Virtues"

   Left-leaning, influential La Repubblica (3/8) said "These
American...elections have one democratic virtue.  Not only do
they represent an unmatched mechanism for consultation which
guarantees the presidential nomination to the candidate who has
been unequivocally chosen by the electoral base.  They also
allow, week after week...the bringing forth of the main
issues....  Dole, for example, will no longer be able to ignore
poor and angry voters who thought they had identified their
savior in Buchanan.  But he will have to seize the issues they
care about with a statesman's attitude, and not with the language
of a barker....  There are even defects underlaying the shining
American democracy.  The vote during primary elections is
strictly controlled by the bureaucracies of the two main parties.
Only those who have millions to spend can hope to be
successful....  Yet we Italians have something to learn from this
slow American convoy.  We would gladly give up a television talk
show in exchange for a couple of primary elections."

   "Great News For U.S., For Europe, For Italy"

   Vittorio Zucconi rejoiced from Washington in centrist La
Stampa (3/7), "Dole's victory...is excellent news for America,
for Europe and, in no small degree, for us Italians.
   "Not only is the old, unsinkable 'Captain Apache' of American
politics a friend of Italy, a war veteran who still has loving
memories of the Italian families who went to his rescue in the
Appenine mountains and of the village where he spent long months
in the hospital.  Most important is that he is, by age,
experience and personal history, a man who has been 'vaccinated,'
forever and painfully, against those isolationist, protectionist,
xenophobic and provincial temptations that are surfacing
everywhere in the youngest generations with no memory of history.
His future duel with Clinton in the November vote will therefore
be a duel at the center, a battle fought along the lines of
substantial moderation, consensus, compromise, toward a 'change
without radicalism' for America."

   "'No' To U.S. Fortress With Dole"

   Financial Il Sole-24 Ore (3/7) said, "Chances are that, in
November, America will be called to choose between Dole and
Clinton, two equally internationalist candidates, in the somewhat
reductive sense taken on by this word from Nixon onward, but, in
any case, candidates open to the international scene and well
aware that there cannot be American security and power without
American involvement....  It is not surprising that, frightened
by Buchanan, the U.S. establishment and the majority of
Republican voters are closing ranks around Bob Dole."

   "Bob Dole, The Return Of The Center"

   Ennio Caretto commented in centrist, top-circulation Corriere
della Sera (3/7), "(Dole is) the last representative of the
generation to which the world owes victory over Nazism and
Stalinism, and America its military, political and economic
strength.  There is no doubt that, by focusing on Dole, the
Republicans intend not so much to pay a historic debt to their
leaders as to defend moderation from extremism, especially that
of Pat Buchanan....  America now seems to confirm its traditional
longing for the center and alternation....  Dole now has a double
task:  To unify the Republicans and create a big moderate right,
where unhappy Democratic voters could also converge; and to
defeat Clinton, the most centrist president of the second half of
this century, capable of dealing with the complicated issues of
the post-Cold War era, a formidable player in electoral
campaigns.  Apparently a 'mission impossible' for a man like
Dole, who carries with him the heavy baggage of the
establishment....  But nine months are an eternity in politics.
Anything can happen."

   "U.S.:  Republican Disaster"

   Alberto Pasolini Zanelli commented in rightist Il Giornale
(2/28), "The uncertainty is that the 'civil war' within the GOP
rank and file threatens what was taken for granted up until a few
weeks ago, that is, the maintenance and strengthening of the
Republican majority in the Congress."

   "The Right And Economic Concerns"

   Ennio Caretto remarked in Corriere della Sera (2/27),
"Buchanan is filling the vacuum left not only by conservatives,
but also by Clinton, who has shifted to the right in order to
seize some of its cultural and economic issues, such as law and
order and the balancing of the budget, which, however, have
fallen to second place.  And Buchanan has thus formed de facto a
crossover party in which, in addition to unhappy Republicans and
Democrats, the followers of Ross Perot are also converging."

   "Clinton's Problem"

   La Repubblica (2/25) held, "President Clinton should not
believe that victory is within reach nor that it is enough for
him to exploit the divisions within the Republican Party. 
November 5 is still far off:  A bomb in Bosnia or unexpected
developments in the Whitewater scandal would be enough to sink
his popularity rating.  What is even more important is that, once
the electoral campaign is in full swing, Clinton will be asked to
respond to the same question that is now creating problems for
the Republicans:  How to deal with the dilemma of unemployment in
the post-information revolution economy?  The solutions put
forward by nationalist-populist Buchanan are wrong and very
dangerous, but the question is a real one.  And a Democratic
president, i.e. the president of the party which has always
defended society's weakest members and looked to America's
future, cannot ignore this historical problem."

   "We Thought This Idea Had Been Snuffed Out?"

   Arrigo Levi wrote in Corriere della Sera (2/25), "Buchanan is
a 'Western fundamentalist,' and he is not the only one....
Fundamentalism does not represent simply a nostalgia for the
past.  It is also the reaction to new fears, spreading all over
the West and linked to the globalization of the economy, which
for some has taken on the semblance of a monster that devours
jobs and entails waves of immigration destined to destroy ancient
nations."

   "Democrats Should Also Be Concerned About Buchanan"

   Furio Colombo wrote from New York in La Repubblica (2/23),
"Nothing matters in the world but what is happening in America
now....  The Democrats, however, should also be concerned about
Buchanan's rise, for moral rather than political reasons.
Buchanan is getting a lot of votes from frightened people who
have lost their jobs and feel defenseless.  Clinton, Gore and
liberal congressmen should wonder why they have let so many
people, who traditionally trust the Democratic Party, feel
abandoned."

   RUSSIA:  "Dole Owes Lead To GOP Functionaries"

   Andrei Smirnov stated in reformist, business-oriented
Kommersant Daily (3/7), "The question of who is going to be the
Republican candidate for president--a hot media subject only a
few days ago--has all but lost its appeal.  The answer,
obviously, is Robert Dole....  His strength, however, is not to
be found in his election platform, as there is nothing original
about it....  His chief advantage lies in the support he has been
getting from the overwhelming majority of party functionaries."

   "Dole Glows, Media Sulk"

   In the view of Nikolai Zimin in Washington for reformist
Segodnya (3/7), "(Dole's) rivals proved surprisingly weak,
disappointing journalists--the primaries robbed of their
poignancy and drama....  The senator's face, dour and puckered
from the failures of the previous days, has smoothed out by now."

   "Dole Faces Dragon Of Own Making"

   Nikolai Zimin filed from Washington for Segodnya (2/24),
"Buchanan has shown the party establishment the flip side of the
Republican victory of the year before last.  In fighting
Democrats and Clinton, Republican leaders in Congress every now
and then fell into extremes, exactly as Buchanan is doing these
days.  Now Bob Dole, a tireless critic of the administration, is
faced with the dragon of his own making."

   "Clinton Depends On Bosnia, Yeltsin For Success"

   According to Vasily Safronchuk, under the headline above in
nationalist Sovetskaya Rossiya (2/22), "Clinton's (electoral)
chances might suffer if the Bosnia peace mission starts to
falter.  A more telling blow would be for Yeltsin to lose the
coming election.  The U.S. president might be of more assistance
to 'friend Boris,' but for Congress, which binds him hand and
foot.  As for the Republicans, their chances don't look good now.
With the Cold War over and the Soviet Union gone, anti-Communist
rhetoric is not a key political card any more, and the GOP's
conservatives are increasingly given to isolationist trends."

   AUSTRIA:  "Tweedledee Candidates"

   Foreign editor Erhard Stackl argued in independent Catholic
Der Standard (3/7), "If it is Dole the pragmatist who will face
Clinton on election day, each...will have a hard time formulating
a position clearly distinguished from the other's.  Only
recently, Clinton announced the end of 'big government', as if he
were Republican.  In view of growing deficits and the global
nature of economic relations, governments have little influence
on the job situation.  In the end, the vote will be a matter of
trust, either in Clinton, with his known weaknesses, or in Bob
Dole, who at the age of 72 would be the oldest U.S. president.
But then, Ronald Reagan was almost 70 when he won."

   BELGIUM:  "Republican's Natural Candidate"

   Philippe Paquet held in conservative, Catholic La Libre
Belgique (3/7), "Bob Dole can legitimately believe that he has
become again the Republican Party's 'natural' presidential
candidate, which his experience and moderate positions suggested
at the beginning.  Alas!  According to public opinion surveys,
his victory would just as 'inescapably' mean the party's defeat
against Democrat Bill Clinton on November 5.  Abroad, some will
deplore it more than others.  A Capitol Hill man, Bob Dole has
obviously fallen under the charm of the Jewish and Taiwanese
lobbies, the two most powerful in Washington.  He has listed on
top of his diplomatic program the transfer of the capital of
Israel to Jerusalem and the granting to Taipei of a UN seat."

   "Is The White House For Sale?"

   Luc Ruidant wrote in socialist La Wallonie (2/26), "Among
those who were preparing to run in 1996, those with the most
foresight began more than a year ago to collect an electoral 'war
chest.' Conversely, many politicians who do not lack charisma
refuse to embark on this exhausting marathon which money
collecting represents.  Should one have a well-lined purse rather
than a well-made head to become president of the United States? 
Even though it does not preoccupy many Americans, the question
deserves to be posed."

   "U.S. Elections Cast A Shadow On Relations With Mexico"

   Latin American affairs writer Francis Van Den Berghe held in
independent, Catholic De Standaard (2/23), "Electoral fever in
the United States is souring the good neighborliness with
Mexico....  Among millions of Americans, the image prevails that
the immigrants are a threat to their jobs and that they are a
burden on social services.  This has made xenophobia and racism a
major issue in the presidential elections....  The rhetoric about
these issues may blow over.  But Mexico fears that other issues
may survive the elections.  In the campaign, NAFTA is used as a
weapon against Clinton and against the Mexican government.  NAFTA
enables the American industrial world to compete better against
Europe and Japan and to penetrate Mexico's (market) more easily.
Nevertheless, (some) U.S. sectors...feel threatened by the free
trade with Mexico."

   BULGARIA:  "GOP Becomes Party Of The Proletariat"

   Ruling Socialist Party Duma (2/22) observed, "The New
Hampshire primary beat everything.  The founders of the Grand Old
Party would be shocked if they could hear the candidate who
won.... Buchanan's extremism, which touched on racism and
anti-semitism, combined with the most primitive populism, quite
stunned the Republicans.  The unceremonious commentator's second
victory exceeded the amount of dramatics which can be endured by
the party....  The fame of the New Hampshire primary as having
some prophetic power is likely to decline.  This time the
Republicans themselves will make efforts so that their winning
candidate drops out of the race for the White House.  Otherwise,
the Republican Party may all of a sudden become a party of the
proletarian class indeed."

   CANADA:  "Victory For Dole Likely Means Loss For Republicans"

   Columnist Stephen Handelman held in the liberal Toronto Star
(3/7), "The Republican Party this week came another step closer
to reelecting President Bill Clinton in 1996....  Each victory
along the road to nomination also manages to expose the
weaknesses of Dole's candidacy--weaknesses both in his Party, and
in his own personal drive for power....  Dole's inability or
reluctance to define himself clearly...won't play well against a
president who's a master of the same art."

   "U.S. Primary Colors"

   The leading, moderate Globe and Mail (3/5) discussed reasons
why President Clinton may not "win a second term, sailing past
the dervishes of indecision to his right...Whitewater....personal
peccadillos...  Bosnia....  If this peacekeeping commitment turns
into a violent engagement, the President could become tarred by
the brush of Vietnam. The Perot factor:  The balance of power
appears stacked in Mr. Clinton's favor, but reserve armies of
uncommitted voters wait on the sidelines....  The economy:..The
balance sheets look good and unemployment is low, but many
Americans are unhappy, unimpressed and underemployed."

   "Pat Buchanan Or The Triumphant Populism"

   Sylviane Tramier commented in French-language Le Devoir
(2/26), "One must hear him...to understand that he worries the
Republicans more than he scares the Democrats....  It is almost
as if, for the Republicans, there was only one question left: how
to get rid of Pat Buchanan?...  For the champions of the
so-called conservative revolution, Buchanan is an apostate....
His message is a knot of contradictions....  All things being
equal, he is to the United States what Jean-Marie Le Pen is to
France--a divisive factor in the right wing, hence an ace up the
sleeve of the left wing....  His success in New Hampshire awarded
him some control within the Republican Party, which can no
longer...treat him as if he were of minimal importance."

   "Buchanan Thrives On America's fears"

   Columnist David Frum commented in the conservative Ottawa Sun
(2/26), "From Dole...all that the Republican primary electorate
sees reflected back is organization, money and an unattractive
assumption of personal entitlement.  It is a dreadful
disappointment, a disappointment that threatens to condemn the
Republican Party to undeserved defeat in 1996 and that has
elevated an adventurer like Pat Buchanan to undeserved
prominence."

   "Buchanan Went Too Far In New Hampshire"

   Editorialist Frederic Wagniere wrote in French-language La
Presse (2/23): "The cultural diversity that Buchanan deplores is
one of the strengths of the United States....  The 1996 election
might mark the point beyond which the right wing of the
Republican party cannot pass.  With a clear majority in Congress,
the party must now show itself capable of establishing a
consensus to govern efficiently.  Pat Buchanan, with his
extremism and his lack of experience in elective politics, is way
beyond that limit."

   NORWAY:  "Dole Versus Clinton"

   Social Democratic Arbeiderbladet (3/7) held, "The misfortunes
that would have to hit America before Bob Dole would ever have a
chance at winning, are bigger than what even the Republicans
would wish for."

   "Like Mondale, Beaten And Bruised Before Final Round"

   Arbeiderbladet wrote (3/4), "Dole is in the same situation as
Walter Mondale was in 1984.  He stumbles from primary to
primary....  At the very end, Mondale got the nomination because
he had the entire power elite of the (Democratic) Party backing
him.  Finally, beaten and bruised, he went up against Ronald
Reagan.  Dole will be equally beaten and bruised before he even
qualifies for the final race.  Then Bill Clinton will be waiting
for him, all rested and smiling."

   SERBIA-MONTENEGRO:  "Buchanan, Bad News For GOP, But Fun For
                        The Democrats"

   Independent, centrist Nasa Borba (2/22) remarked, "The people
are having fun, but slowly they start to get worried by
Buchanan's vision of an isolationist America.  In the meantime,
Clinton and the Democrats are rejoicing.  A better scenario for
the rift among the Republicans could not have been conceived even
by themselves."

   SLOVAKIA:  Has Victory Begun in America a Buchanan
              Revolution?"

   Michal Havran wrote in opposition, pro-Western Sme (2/23),
"Pat Buchanan expresses to Americans an extreme vision of
America, which will be built on heartfelt conservatism, where,
for example, there will not be a place for abortion, where
homosexuals will not have high positions, where all-powerful
managers of rich corporations will not rob people of their jobs,
where the UN will not command American troops, where the flow of
illegal immigrants will stop, etc., etc, etc....  Dole represents
the central, peaceful wing of the party and togther with his
strategists, is convinced that conservative America prefers his
position over the extremism of Buchanan."

   SPAIN:  "Dole, The Winner:  A Leader As Tenacious As Boring"

   J.V. Boo wrote from New York for conservative ABC (3/7), "The
Republican front-runner is Washington's most tenacious man,
capable of ignoring his paralyzed right arm and of launching his
third presidential campaign at 72.  If he could defeat Bill
Clinton he would become the oldest U.S. president on inauguration
day.  It is not easy to outline Dole's program....  The veteran
senator from Kansas is an expert in the legal sale of legislation
favoring the big companies which have generously contributed to
his 'Campaign American,' the fund that helped many electoral
campaigns of those senators and governors who now support him. In
contrast with Richard Nixon, Bob Dole does not have a vision of
America, but surpasses his master in another very important
field:  knowing how to handle the keys to power."

   "A Poor Copy"

   Carlos Fresneda said from New York in anti-government El Mundo
(3/7), "Dole is a poor copy of George Bush who has come this far
not on his merits on the demerits of others."

   SWEDEN:  "Dole's Image Problem"

   Conservative Svenska Dagbladet opined (3/7), "Even is Dole
should win most of the primaries, he will not find the role of
the Republican Party's candidate for president easy.  The success
of Pat Buchanan has caused concern within the party.  Dole has,
in an effort to disarm Buchanan, been forced to take a more
conservative position than he is comfortable with.  Uniting the
party is of crucial importance if Dole is to stand a chance to
defeat Clinton.  This will not be easy.
   "The 72-year-old Dole also has an image problem.  He comes
across as stiff and uncomfortable with journalists and 'ordinary
people.'  He is not a great orator or visionary....  Dole is
respected for his political pragmatism.  However, it is most
uncertain whether this is a quality that will bring him to the
White House."

   "Let Us Hope That America Recovers"

   Social-democratic Aftonbladet (2/22) opined, "The New
Hampshire primary may have broken the back of Bob Dole.... 
Unfortunate as it is, we must be prepared for the possibility of
Buchanan's continuing to play an important role in the U.S.
election.  A recession, an American disaster in Bosnia, a
coughing Dole may trigger increasing populism and chauvinism in
the United States. We can only hope that America will soon
recover."

   EAST ASIA AND PACIFIC

   AUSTRALIA:  "It's A Battle Of Generations"

   The national, business-oriented Australian Financial Review
said (3/7), "The U.S. presidential election match-up between
Republican Bob Dole and incumbent Democrat Bill Clinton is set to
be a battle of generations, personas and messages.  First, it
will pit the last of America's World War II political leaders
against its first baby-boomer president....  Second, the election
will contrast Dole's virtuous personal record as a badly wounded
war hero against Clinton's controversial history of
Vietnam-dodging, dope-smoking, womanizing and Whitewater.  With a
sizable minority of Americans distrusting Clinton, Dole will try
to exploit this contrast by harping on 'leadership' and
'honesty.'  But so far Clinton has the edge after winning the
budget battle against Newt Gingrich's Republicans in Congress.
Clinton will try to paint Dole as part of a harsh Gingrich
revolution, and himself as a more palatable offering of economic
opportunity and individual security."

   "Republican Leadership Risks Turning Buchanan's Troops Feral"

   The Washington correspondent for the liberal Sydney Morning
Herald (3/6) reported,  "One after another (leading Republican
Party establishment members)  have accused Mr. Buchanan of being
an 'extremist' bigot with Nazi sympathies and barely veiled
racist intent, a divisive polarizer with no hope of defeating
President Clinton....  The attacks on Mr. Buchanan may have had
the desired effect of boosting Senator Dole back into contention.
But they have also had one deeply undesirable side effect: the
intense alienation of the hundreds of thousands of Republicans
who passionately support Mr. Buchanan."

   "'Comeback Codger' makes his move"

   The Washington correspondent for the national, conservative
Australian (3/6) reported,  "Veteran Senator Bob Dole is poised
to become the 'Comeback Codger' of American politics today by
elbowing aside his much younger rivals....
   "Mr. Gingrich's decision to join the Dole bandwagon was
particularly telling because he planned to chair the party's
nominating convention in August and was determined to stay
neutral....  (His) decision was driven largely by his concern
that the Republicans must quickly unite and refine their own
political agenda if they are to defeat Mr. Clinton and
Congressional Democrats in November."

   "Republicans Lay It On For The Comeback Kid"

   The Washington correspondent for the national,
business-oriented Australian Financial Review (3/1) reported,
"Clinton now has a policy edge over Congressional Republicans in
key middle-class concerns such as health insurance, education,
the environment and economic growth.  But not everything looks
good for Clinton.... The economy's early-1996 weakness is a
risk--economists put the chances of a recession this year at
one-in-four.  The Whitewater controversy drips on....  And
finally, the U.S. troop deployment in Bosnia contains the
inherent risk of political disaster in the months or weeks before
the November 5 poll."

   "Setting Up House In Global Village"

   The Australian's foreign editor remarked (2/28), "Buchanan's
identification of free trade and globalization as an evil, is a
melancholy irony, for no nation is so well poised to benefit from
globalization as the United States.  Already unemployment in the
United States is among the lowest in all OECD countries.
Inflation is low.  Growth is slowing, but this is only cyclical,
and wages, after a long period of productivity catching up with
the wages overshoot of the 1970s, are beginning to rise at
last....  The United States is likely to win in globalization
because it is so wired for information technology.  It has a
greater capacity than anybody else to collect, integrate,
disseminate and use vast quantities of information at high
speed....  The universal and global quality U.S. society derives
from its immigrants is a huge comparative advantage in a
globalizing environment."

   CAMBODIA:  "Dole Bolts Past Foes With Eight-State Sweep"

   The Cambodia Daily held (3/7), "U.S. Senator Bob Dole stormed
to a commanding lead in the Republican presidential race over
fast-fading Patrick Buchanan and a shrinking field of
challengers.  His victory was fueled by Republican voters anxious
to stall Buchanan and turn the party's attention to beating
President Bill Clinton in November."

   CHINA:  "Economic Security Is Hot Topic In Presidential
            Campaign"

   Washington correspodent Liu Aicheng wrote (3/8) in the
official, Communist Party People's Daily:  "Many people believe
that their American dream has been shattered, first, Americns
economic strength is slipping and the standard of living for most
Americans is going from bad to worse.  Second, the difference
between the rich and poor is widening....  More wealth and income
is concentraed into the hands of a small number of people. Third,
the army of unemployed is expanding from blue collar workers to
include white collar workers.  With this attitude prevalent among
the voters, it is natural that the candidates for president are
emphasizing economic security in order to win support."

   HONG KONG:  "War For U.S. Presidential Nomination Becoming
                Clear"

   According to leading pro-PRC Ta Kung Pao (3/7), "Yesterday
some people in Bob Dole's camp were already ignoring the
competitors within the Republican Party.  In his victory speech,
Dole did not point a finger at Buchanan and Forbes like on
previous days.  He has turned the juggernaut to the outside and
is challenging Clinton in the image of the Republican
challenger."

   PHILIPPINES:  "American Political Moves"

   Columnist Ricardo Malay (3/6) said in the independent
Chronicle (3/6), "Volatile as the American electorate is, it is
highly doubtful if it is prepared to welcome a right-wing
extremist (Buchanan) with delusions of grandeur to the White
House.... This may not be the best of times for the Democrats but
they seem to have recovered from  the electoral drubbing they got
from the GOP.  Meanwhile, Clinton is waltzing past Gennifergate,
Paulagate and now Whitewater.  There will be no trouble in him
sitting in the Oval Office for another four years."

   INDONESIA:  "Foreign Elections Always Attract Attention"

   Leading, independent Kompas (3/6) opined, "A number of
countries will hold general elections in 1996.  The dynamics of
democratic elections in those countries attract our attention
since we endorse the practice of democracy....  The U.S.
elections, for example, are composed of impressive and attractive
political events that are true festivals for the people....  The
ability of leaders to admit defeat and acknowledge an opponent's
success is the spirit of democracy and sportsmanship that builds
public admiration and respect.  To many countries, this is still
a vision."

   NEW ZEALAND:  "U.S. Losing Touch"

   Auckland's New Zealand Herald (2/29) said, "The French
president recently confronted the U.S. congress in what may have
to become a regular pilgrimage for world leaders.  It appears
those with influence in the country need to have impressed upon
them that it is in American interests to contribute more to the
world community than occasionally waving a big stick....
   "Election year may not be the best time to try to encourage
Americans to look outwards, just as Mr. Chirac may not be the
best messenger.  But is there ever a perfect time or perfect
messenger to tell Americans that global inter-dependence has left
nowhere for them to hide; that the longer they try, the heavier
the cost will eventually be?  Someone has to if their own leaders
will not."

   SINGAPORE:  "Message Might Outlive The Man"

   The pro-government Straits Times (2/24) held, "The effect of
Mr. Buchanan's betrayal of the Republican party's historic
support for free trade would be to undermine, rather than
protect, American jobs, living standards and security.... 
Anti-free trade, anti-big business and anti-immigration, the
Buchanan phenomenon stands for little short of disorder, at home
and abroad.  Its impact is divisive and negative.  Committed to
religious fundamentalism, and practicing a kind of blue-collar
populism, Mr. Buchanan seems determined to topple the Republican
establishment.  Small wonder that his message should hold a
visceral appeal for those who earn less than $30,000....  Thanks
to the Buchanan campaign, they look on economic globalization as
a dirty word.  It is tempting to dismiss them as the lunatic
fringe....  But even if he is eliminated, will the destructive
message he preaches, and the chauvinistic followers he has
mustered, be exorcised so easily?"

   "Internationalist Pro-Growth Agenda Is The New Idea"

   The pro-government Business Times (2/23) asked, "Will the rise
of Buchananism, of anti-free trade posturing and
Asia-scapegoating, in New Hampshire, convince Mr. Clinton too to
adopt hawkish policies against 'problematic' trade partners like
Japan and China?
   "The Clintonites will have to decide shortly whether to punish
Beijing for allegedly violating an accord to protect intellectual
property rights and selling sensitive military technology to
Pakistan, and several White House aides are recommending that Mr.
Clinton play it tough with Beijing so as not to be accused of
being 'soft' on China and trade.  Such an outcome could only have
a disastrous effect on the fragile Sino-American relationship....
If anything, Messrs. Clinton, Dole and Alexander will find that
advancing an internationalist pro-growth agenda, based on
strengthening U.S. trade ties with the economies of Asia, is the
type of 'new idea' that helps to energize the American people and
win their votes."

   SOUTH KOREA:  "Dole's Victory Aided By Fear About Buchanan"

   Anti-establishment Hankyoreh Shinmun (3/7) commented, "Pat
Buchanan, who is still supported by religious conservatives and
people with economic woes, is not likely to withdraw from the
campaign until the August national convention.  Nor is Steve
Forbes.  Candidate Dole will have to consume much of his energy
to win the nomination.  That will make his fight with Bill
Clinton more burdensome."

   THAILAND:  "New Hampshire Results Do Not Reflect Overall
               Views"

   The independent, English-language Nation (2/25) commented,
"Although a primary is a very democratic way to select a party's
nominee, the fact that such a small, unrepresentative,
predominantly white, conservative state as New Hampshire is first
can distort the process....  Buchanan will certainly never be the
Republican's choice as presidential candidate.  A politician who
plays on people's fears and has links with white supremacist
groups should be kept off-limits from the White House."

   MIDDLE EAST

   ISRAEL:  "The Buchanan Impact Will Not Go Away"

   Columnist Dan Margalit commented in liberal Ha'aretz (3/1),
"Gone are the days when no presidential contender dared question
the need to coddle American Jews and Israel....  (Buchanan's)
popularity ratings did not drop when he pledged to cut aid to
Israel and mocked Clinton for the large number of Jews in his
administration....  Far-right Republicans can henceforth afford
to hate Jews and loath Israel....  Even if Buchanan vanishes from
the political scene, the damage he has done to the status of
American Jews will not go away.  Worse, it will probably be made
to look even more ominous by some of his successors."

   "Buchanan Makes Oslo Really Scary"

   The right-wing Jerusalem Post (3/1) opined, "A populist, an
isolationist, and an America firster in the worst sense of these
appellations, Buchanan wants a halt to foreign aid and the end of
American military presence abroad....  Yet the whole structure of
the Oslo agreements depends on American financial, political, and
moral support for the process....  The agreement with Syria, too,
hinges on the amount of political, economic, and moral investment
the United States is willing to make to entice Damascus into a
White House signing ceremony....  Isolationism is again becoming
a significant force in American politics.  It makes the notion
that Israel can put its trust in a regional Pax Americana seem a
short-sighted, unacceptable gamble with the nation's future."

   "Even The Views Of A Fascist Get To Be Called 'Vision'"

   Washington correspondent Akiva Eldar commented in Haaretz
(2/29), "Some articles say that, despite reservations over
Buchanan's views, he is absolutely right about this or that
issue....  The writers, mostly irreproachable liberals, always
take care to condemn Buchanan's 'extremism.'  The newsletter Roll
Call...should get the cake.  In an article entitled 'President
Buchanan?,' it argued that 'this is unlikely, but he has vision.'
When all the media has is the fossilized Dole and the nondescript
Alexander, even the views of a fascist get to be called
'vision.'"

   EGYPT:  "Buchanan Stands Up To Israel, Industrialists"

   Opposition Al Shaab (3/1), "Although his competitors...have
the same views and court the Christian trend in the United
States...he is characterized by strong views which anger the
Israelis and businessmen....  Undoubtedly, his views will secure
him a lot of voices....  However, will he hold fast against the
industrial and Jewish lobbies, and become the fourth
fundamentalist American president after Carter and Bush?"

   "Results Couldn't Be Bought"

   Columnist Mustafa Amin held in pro-government Al Akhbar
(2/23), "The results of the elections in New Hampshire were a
slap to the candidate who spent $30 million....  The electorate
proved that it could not be bought....  The Republican party has
to look for a younger candidate.  An old party member will not be
able to beat Clinton...despite his womanizing scandals."

   TUNISIA:  "Beginning Of U.S. Election Marathon"

   Abdellatif Fourati remarked in As-Sabah (2/24),
"While...Clinton, seems to be at ease within his own party,
competition appears ferocious among the Republicans....  What
happened in New Hampshire...puts (President Clinton) in a
favorable position to win the November election....  No matter
what happens...nothing would dramatically change as far as
foreign policy is concerned. Indeed the United States is governed
by institutions; the presidency is an important one, but not the
decisive one.  The experience of the last half-century shows that
the foreign policy of both Republicans and Democrats differs only
in details, not in essence."

   SOUTH ASIA

   INDIA:  "Republicans Seek To Rein In Buchanan"

   Washington correspondent Sridhar Krishnaswami wrote in the
independent Hindu (2/23), "In many ways this could turn out to be
the election to watch for a long time to come....  A person
like...Buchanan with solid delegate support might insist on his
agenda being written into the party platform....  The
conservative commentator is running not only on a social issues
platform; he is hitting at the most sensitive spot in America:
economic insecurity.  and his prescriptions are quite deadly....
Whether (Dole) changes the campaign strategy and takes
on...Buchanan in a frontal manner remains to be seen....  A view
that has surfaced now is that a person like General Colin Powell
should step in to stop the drift in the Republican Party.  But as
per the rules he cannot enter the primaries and caucuses now."

   BANGLADESH:  "New Hampshire--And U.S. Politics"

   The independent Bangladesh Observer (2/26) opined, "Pat
Buchanan has won, but...he will not win the nomination.  But
neither will he give Dole an easy time....
   "The prospect should cheer the Democrats, for it throws up the
spectacle of (a) bloodying convention for the GOP.  If Dole--or
someone else--fails to get the nomination on the first ballot,
the Republicans will be in turmoil.  Colin Powell could surface
again, as a draft-in.  That move will restore the dignity of the
party--and could also restore the presidency for the GOP....  The
Republican Party should begin looking for personalities for the
2000 (election.)  The Democrats have one of theirs...Gore."

   LATIN AMERICA AND CARRIBEAN

   ARGENTINA:  "Bob Dole's Landslide in New York"

   Marina Aizen, leading Clarin's New York-based correspondent
commented (3/8), "With his victorious landslide, Dole was
practically consolidated as Bill Clinton's Republican rival....
Nevertheless, Dole is not a man that awakens passions.  That is
his great defect.  The Kansas senator does not attract
multitudes, much less electrify them, as does...Pat Buchanan who,
with a flaming ironic speech, captures the hearts of his
followers."

   "Dole's Next Step:  Unite Republican Party"

   Monica Flores Correa wrote in left-of-center Pagina 12 (3/7),
"Dole's next step before defeating Bill Clinton is to unite the
Republican Party, strikingly divided and none too convinced of
the leadership of this veteran politician.  At the same time,
these sectors have different opinions, even radically different,
on social and economic issues.  The only topic Republicans agree
on is that they all want lower taxes.  It is a start."

   "Dole, An Indisputable Favorite Again"

   Washington correspondent Jorge Elias remarked in
daily-of-record La Nacion (3/5), "Impossible to stop, like an
engine that starts at half speed then gains impetus, Senator Bob
Dole is...the indisputable favorite, as some polls have shown....
Buchanan is...fierce in attacking his...rivals for their
acceptance of...NAFTA.  During a debate in Atlanta...he did not
hesitate to call Dole...Clinton's collaborator, favoring
abortion.  The usual phrases, after all."

   "Buchanan, The Masterstroke Candidate"

   Oscar Raul Cardoso, Clarin's international analyst (2/24)
opined, "Buchanan is not important for winning--because tradition
says he will invariably be defeated--but for what he destroys on
his way....  What the party's traditional leadership realizes
now...is that even though he could be eliminated...he would have
influenced decisively the...public agenda of the campaign.  After
all, Buchanan only presents extreme clearness on ideas which
other supposedly moderate candidates also express, but secretly."

   BRAZIL:  "Reactionary, Mean and Violent"

   Jose Arbex Jr. wrote in center-right O Estado de San Paulo
(2/24), "Pat Buchanan couldn't be more racist, xenophobic,
chauvinist, protectionist and demagogic....  He is a real
translation of the Contract with America, the program of the
Republican majority in the Congress....  With very few
variations, Ross Perot...and Buchanan talk the same political
language....  But the political disillusionment is a consequence
of the neoliberal years of Ronald Reagan, when the government
abandoned its social worries, lowered income taxes for the rich
and transformed productivity and efficacy into the supreme
criteria on which to judge a firm or a system--when the
government, finally, attacked Franklin Roosevelt's New Deal and
relegated any sign of ethical decency in public life to a
secondary plan.
   "Buchanan's victory in New Hamsphire, however transitory...is
a sign of the discouragement and the decomposition of American
public moral life.  There is no alternative--the laughable Bill
Clinton seems not to be the lesser evil, if he is able to get rid
of the scandalous situation he is in.  What is at stake--and what
makes the problem so serious--is the destiny of the most stable
and powerful democracy on the planet."

   CHILE:  "Excellent News For Clinton"

   Financial El Diario (3/1) opined, "The battle for the
Republican presidential nomination has become a chaos that could
be prolonged until the party convention itself in August.... 
This is excellent news for President Bill Clinton."

   JAMAICA:  "Buchanan May Prove To Be Clinton's Biggest Ally"

   The moderate Gleaner (3/2) held in an editorial, "Whichever
way it goes, the news is probably bad for the Republicans.  By
heralding deep divisions in the Republican Party, Pat Buchanan
may prove to be Bill Clinton's biggest ally."

   MEXICO:  "Immigration Measures Woven Into Electoral Struggle"

   In an editorial noting that the United States "continues to
strengthen surveillance of its southern border," nationalist
Excelsior (3/8) maintained, "Everything seems to indicate that
the immigration measures indeed respond to the electoral struggle
between Democrats and Republicans.  In fact, the undocumented
aliens issue has become an instrument of political demagoguery to
appeal to voters....  The Republican presidential hopefuls have
radicalized their position on this matter, and the toughening of
Washington's migration policy does respond to President Clinton's
need to win votes for his re-election."

   PANAMA:  "Though Not Considered Electable, Buchanan Still
             Causes Worries"

   Independent La Estrella de Panama (3/2) opined, "That...Pat
Buchanan has surpassed Senator Dole in New Hampshire's primary
does not mean that he will be nominated...as Clinton's opponent.
But the possibility, though remote...caused concern in the
international arena.  There is no doubt that Buchanan's
nationalistic, isolationist and ultra-conservative position is
shared by many Americans....  But the majority of Republicans
is...convinced that if he were nominated as a candidate, his
defeat is almost assured."

   AFRICA

   NIGERIA:  "U.S. Polls: An Update"

   Kaduna's pro-government, anti-American Weekly Democrat (2/25)
commented, "Success is changing Pat Buchanan.  Four years ago,
when he upset George Bush in the New Hampshire primary...Mr.
Buchanan was no more than a protest candidate.  He ran not
because he thought he could win, but because the campaign
afforded a delicious chance to ride his favorite hobby horses.
This year's contest began in the same mood....  Mr. Buchanan's
people argue that, if the Republicans choose their man, he will
go on to beat Bill Clinton.  Unlike Dole, he can match the
President's debating skills, and he appeals to the mass of
independent voters who rallied four years ago to Ross Perot's
protectionist banner."
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