       Document 0165
 DOCN  M9620165
 TI    Scope of the AIDS epidemic in the United States.
 DT    9602
 AU    Rosenberg PS; National Cancer Institute, Rockville, MD 20852-4910, USA.
 SO    Science. 1995 Nov 24;270(5240):1372-5. Unique Identifier : AIDSLINE
       MED/96085069
 AB    Two-dimensional deconvolution techniques are used here to reconstruct
       age-specific human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) infection rates in the
       United States from surveillance data on acquired immunodeficiency
       syndrome (AIDS). This approach suggests that 630,000 to 897,000 adults
       and adolescents in the United States were living with HIV infection as
       of January 1993, including 107,000 to 150,000 women. The estimated
       incidence of HIV infection declined markedly over time among white
       males, especially those older than 30 years. In contrast, HIV incidence
       appears to have remained relatively constant among women and minorities.
       As of January 1993, prevalence was highest among young adults in their
       late twenties and thirties and among minorities. An estimated 3 percent
       of black men and 1 percent of black women in their thirties were living
       with HIV infection as of that date. If infection rates remain at these
       levels, HIV must be considered as endemic in the United States.
 DE    Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome/*EPIDEMIOLOGY  Adolescence  Adult
       Age Distribution  Blacks/STATISTICS & NUMER DATA  *Disease Outbreaks
       Female  Hispanic Americans/STATISTICS & NUMER DATA  Human  HIV
       Infections/*EPIDEMIOLOGY  Incidence  Male  Middle Age  Models,
       Statistical  Prevalence  Sex Distribution  United States/EPIDEMIOLOGY
       Whites/STATISTICS & NUMER DATA  JOURNAL ARTICLE

       SOURCE: National Library of Medicine.  NOTICE: This material may be
       protected by Copyright Law (Title 17, U.S.Code).

