Return-path: X-Andrew-Authenticated-as: 7997;andrew.cmu.edu;Ted Anderson Received: from beak.andrew.cmu.edu via trymail for +dist+/afs/andrew.cmu.edu/usr11/tm2b/space/space.dl@andrew.cmu.edu (->+dist+/afs/andrew.cmu.edu/usr11/tm2b/space/space.dl) (->ota+space.digests) ID ; Thu, 14 Dec 89 01:36:18 -0500 (EST) Message-ID: Reply-To: space+@Andrew.CMU.EDU From: space-request+@Andrew.CMU.EDU To: space+@Andrew.CMU.EDU Date: Thu, 14 Dec 89 01:35:49 -0500 (EST) Subject: SPACE Digest V10 #343 SPACE Digest Volume 10 : Issue 343 Today's Topics: Payload Status for 12/13/89 (Forwarded) NASA Reform White Paper, Part 1 of 2 (long) ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: 13 Dec 89 21:11:46 GMT From: trident.arc.nasa.gov!yee@ames.arc.nasa.gov (Peter E. Yee) Subject: Payload Status for 12/13/89 (Forwarded) Daily Status/KSC Payload Management and Operations 12-13-89 - STS-31R HST (at VPF) - The performance demonstration test (PDT #8) was successfully completed yesterday. The HST RF link/bit error rate test was completed and data analysis will continue today. ECS and facility HVAC monitoring continues. - STS-32R SYNCOM (at Pad A) - Battery conditioning will pick up again today and will continue daily until Pad A clear begins again. - STS-35 ASTRO-1/BBXRT (at O&C) - IPR troubleshooting on RAU 5 breakout box removal and flight connects was completed. On the HDRR cable ring out an open wire was discovered, repaired, and retested. The counter balance weight was successfully removed. All IPR troubleshooing was completed. The systems engineers are evaluating the data to ensure all requirements have been met. - STS-40 SLS-1 (at O&C) - Eddy current checks were performed and will continue today. Gas component test stand prep and validation continue. Rack rotations were completed on rack 11 and 12. MVAK familiarization is in work and will continue today. - STS-42 IML (at O&C) - No activity. ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 13 Dec 89 12:53:52 PST From: mordor!lll-tis!ames!scubed!pnet01.cts.com!jim@angband.s1.gov (Jim Bowery) To: crash!space@angband.s1.gov Subject: NASA Reform White Paper, Part 1 of 2 (long) The following is part 1 of a 2 part white paper proposing a reform of our civilian space program. It is submitted to the network minus an appendix which discusses a fall-back policy position which must be adopted if this reform cannot be implemented. I will circulate the appendix depending on the reaction to this paper. About the coauthor: Andrew Cutler is a well known researcher in the economics of space resource utilization and edits an international scientific and technical journal, "Space Power" devoted to that topic. He was a primary force behind the introduction and imminent passage of HR2674, the Space Transportation Services Act. This paper is currently in revision and is being circulated for comment. ***************************************************************************** A Space Program Derived from American Values Part 1 of 2 Andrew Hall Cutler James Alan Bowery (602) 327-9205 (619) 295-8868 Abstract This paper describes how our national space policy should derive from traditional American values so that Americans can create a spacefaring civilization with settlements beyond the earth through private endeavor. Our policy must involve a paradigm shift in our view of space activities. Many space enthusiasts currently believe space is an appropriate arena for a large monolithic bureaucracy to pursue 50 year plans under centralized management while holding scientific data and results close to its chest. This is similar to the Soviet economy, a notably flawed and unproductive system - but it is NOT similar to the way the Soviets themselves pursue their space activities. We must come to understand that space is an appropriate arena for a typically American approach - many small scale activities using varied approaches which have the freedom to change their plans from year to year in an evolutionary process of learning how to live and work in space. We must shift our basic philosophy in space activities from public to private endeavor; from planned to evolutionary expansion; and from centralized management to vigorous and varied competition. We must understand the distinction between research, development and operations so we can pursue the appropriate one in each instance. It is this lack of distinction which is primarily responsible for America not currently having a productive space program since we have pursued far too much development and operations at the expense of the research necessary to give us needed options for the future. We must understand the existing problems - such as the shuttle and space station programs - and how to fix them - for example by privatization and democratization. Introduction It is widely recognized that America has lost its leadership in space due to organizational problems in our civilian space program. The extent to which increased funding can realistically be proposed as a means to help us recapture leadership is limited by increasing budgetary pressures. Fortunately, we can recapture our world leadership without increasing the civilian space program's budget through appropriate reform. The strategy followed in this reform is to ensure variety and competition by creating many small and diverse space programs. This will redirect inappropriately allocated funds, ultimately creating a private space services industry which will grow out of serving the government funded space science community. For a variety of historic reasons, NASA wastes so much money that the gains possible through a more sensible allocation of funds are truly astounding. These gains are more than sufficient to support a renewed American leadership in space activities within our current budgetary constraints. To realize the space rennaisance we must build our space policy on a foundation of proven American values. By giving freedom and independence to government funded space researchers we can create an immediate multibillion dollar market for private space facilities and launch services. The businesses springing up to serve this market can the use the research results to expand into many diverse markets serving our economy. These new, totally private enterprises serving a private market would be the beginning of a spacefaring civilization. The distinctions we must learn to draw are not between manned versus unmanned, Mars versus the moon, expendable versus reuseable, American versus Soviet; but between Publically supported research and privately financed development and operations. The Need for Values There is real world, practical wisdom in having values and abiding by them at all times. The real world is so complex that we need help from the wisdom of the ages to cope with it successfully. This wisdom has evolved ofer eons in our genes and over millenia in our cultures. Our culture hands us wisdom in the form of principles which we are advised to follow even though they may be quite inconvenient and may not appear to make much sense in any particular instance. Some principles are idiosyncratic artifacts of a bygone era - irrelevant in today's rapidly changing world (for example: a woman's place is in the home). This has led many of us to the false conclusion that ALL principles are irrelevant, and that pragmatism must be used not only to elaborate our conduct but to form its foundation. This anti-philosoply quickly becomes a rationalization for discarding our principles when it becomes inconvenient to follow them, which is exactly when they MUST be followed. If we cannot follow our principles when it is difficult, why pretend to have principles at all? Americans are a principled people, and this has brought us to greatness. Today, when our principles are under attack as never before, we also find ourselves, as a nation, slipping into the backwaters of history as we immitate the slow decline into continuing mediocrity and failure of so many other once great cultures. It is popular to point out that this is 'all someone else's fault' - perhaps drug users, or AIDS demented gays, or liberals, or the current president, or the religious right. But it is really something we must all take responsibility for - it is through our inaction that the basic principles that made America great are violated daily in every area of life. We must all stand up and insist they be followed. American Values A selection of American values is: competence, knowledge, scholarship, acceptance of criticism, openness, honesty, acceptance of risk, vision, resourcefulness, freedom, independence, choice, responsibility, truth, justice, individuality, and the worth of the individual. Many Americans hold these values and typify them in their approach to a challenge. We need these values applied to the challenge of creating a spacefaring civilization so it is apporpriate to build a space program on a foundation of these values and encourage the American people to participate in it. Good is also an American value. We are supposed to be good by acting to bring progress, accomplishment and happiness to all in the most beneficial and appropriate manner. The power of American values is that they allow an evolutionary approach to culture and socially important activities, like developing technology and opening frontiers. The independent creativity of many free minds provides the mutations necessary to an evolutionary approach, and the marketplace provides the selective pressure needed to eliminate all but the best of these mutations. The presence of both of these factors was necessary for American culture and society to progress as rapidly as it has. Both are necessary for the rapid evolution we need in order to create a spacefaring civilization through private endeavor. Our national vitality comes from our best and brightest making independent attempts to solve outstanding problems and letting the marketplace decide who has come up with the best solution. While many of these people suffer the temporary inconvenience of an unsuccessful business, we are all better off in the long run due to those who succeed. America's best and brightest should make their own independent attempts to solve our problems not only because they can offer the most creative and useful solutions but because they are the best equipped to survive the trials of occaisional failure - and indeed to learn to profit from them. Intelligent and knowledgeable people have a duty to us all to shun the mundane world of secure jobs and large organizations for the risk and excitement of entrepreneurship and private endeavor so that they can contribute to the evolution of American society and American technology. We should all encourage them to do so and support their efforts when they do. This is how we can all foster the creation of a spacefaring civilization. We must focus on what we want our space policy to be rather than on how we are to implement it. We must then insist that our elected officials find a way to give it to us. If they offer explanations of why they can't give us what we want, we must elect new officials. Our government is by of and for the people and we must insist that it truly represent our noblest yearnings instead of some base inability to acheive a satisfactory vision due to a lack of commitment to finding ways to make things work. Unamerican Values There are a variety of Unamerican values. Some of these are: centralization, bureaucratic authority, plagiarism, corruption and buying votes. We are not supposed to be evil and are not supposed to act to ensure that things are under our control through whatever means are accessible, subject to our arbitrary whim, to be used for the benefit and pleasure of us and our associates without regard for the dignity or desires of anyone else involved. Our space program is in trouble because projects are chosen on the basis of political acceptability rather than technical feasibility and vision. We must not concern ourselves with the political feasibility of acheiving our vision since this is the very pitfall that has destroyed our space program. NASA is a bureaucracy and the people within it are rewarded on the basis of bureaucratic values, not American ones. Bureaucracies value the concentration of power, money and authority in a small number of individuals. Those NASA employees who do not strive to hold authority, spend large quantities of money and grab for power are serving our best interests, but they do not advance in the bureaucracy, so they do not get the chance to serve our interests very well. Those who DO strive to exercise the maximum amount of power and authority and spend the maximum amount of money rise rapidly, and it is these people who are NASA. In order to get what we want out of NASA we have to deny it power, authority, and the ability to centralize control of significant sums of money so that bureaucratic values become meaningless and NASA employees may be rewarded on the basis of how well they contribute to creating a spacefaring civilization. When you build one or a few of anything it is a monument. While Americans like monuments, they do tend to be very careful to protect them from hard use that might damage them. When Americans find some monument to be of value, they replicate it countless times so that the copies can all see hard use without 'using up' the item in question. Bureaucrats prefer monuments (preferably to themselves) while private citizens prefer to have a copy for their very own. We do not need the Taj Majal in space. We need houses, factories and means of transportation in space. We need many of each. Creating these is not something bureaucracies are well suited to and it is foolish of us to expect them to do OUR job for us. The American people, as embodied in businesses, can create enough places to live in space that anyone who wants one can have it. The NASA bureaucracy cannot. It is our duty to arrainge public policy so that WE can create the material basis for a spacefaring civilization rather than lamenting NASA's continuing failure to do so. Space Policy from American Values We should adopt the following long term goals: To foster the creation of a spacefaring civilization with self sufficient settlements beyond the earth; to become the seashore of the universe; to understand the origin, evolution and present state of the universe and our place in it; to make the material wealth in space available to mankind; to allow the American people to participate directly in our space program and to personally explore and exploit space through private endeavor; and to make space a place where private citizens can afford to live, work and play. In the immediate future, we should revitalize our planetary exploration program, revitalize our research enterprise by restoring vigor and diversity to it so we have technology options 20 years from now, create a commercial launch services industry and fly spacelab and materials processing experiments frequently. We need to have an open space program to involve the American people in the creative process. We need to have an honest space program so that the American people will know enough about it to truly contribute. While we need to evaluate ideas like manned spaceflight on the basis of their potential, we should evaluate the managers of things like the manned spaceflight program on the basis of their past performance. In the case of manned spaceflight this would lead to a vigorous program under entirely new management. There are eight NASA centers we propose turning into independent agencies in order to add diversity and independence to our space program: Kennedy Space Center; Marshall Spaceflight Center (with the associated National Space Technology Laboratory); Goddard Spaceflight Center (with the associated Goddard Institute for Space Science in NYC); NASA Headquarters; Johnson Space Center; the Jet Propulsion Laboratory; AMES research center (with the Dryden center associated); and the Lewis Research Center. In addition an independent shuttle flight agency should be formed which would be statutorily barred from increasing its budget or pursuing launch vehicle development. This reform gives us many independent space agencies each of which can take its own unique approach to space. Under this reform the NASA centers cum space agencies would become similar in size and independence to the existing national laboratories, which are currently under DoE (but which might be turned loose in a related reform). The independent NASA centers would also be similar in size to NSF and the various parts of NIH - stable programs which have proven to provide a much better return of results produced per dollar invested than NASA has. An important part of the 'many space programs' idea is to allow agencies like NOAA, NSF and DoE to perform their own space science and fly their own spacecraft if they wish. Diversifying our space activities across traditional agency boundaries will lead to greater creativity and more rapid progress as well as enhanced stability. There are significant overlaps between many federal research agencies where the benefits clearly outweigh the costs of redudancy. These benefits include independent verification of scientific results, having a backup team in case of failure, and the added incentive of having others in the same field who might do a better job using less money. In the long run the duplication of effort we must support if we have many space programs is the cheapest and most efficient way to go - it just may be hard to believe this at any given time. Leadership consists of having worthy goals and progressing towards them, even when it is hard, regardless of current temptations and the actions of competitors. Crash programs do not demonstrate leadership - they illustrate a lack of it. Commitment to the above goals through many diverse space programs will give America leadership in space. Continuing on our present course or committing ourselves to some monolithic crash program because it is a great adventure will ensure that we abdicate our leadership in space activities for the next 30 years. The specific steps we need to take to regain leadership are to foster a commercial launch industry, to provide long term support for companies who wish to learn about materials processing in space, to fly automated planetary exploration and scientific spacecraft frequently, to ensure that we have a useful and robust space facilities instead of the current NASA amazing shrinking space station that does all things too poorly to be of use, to clean up the NASA bureaucracy which stifles productivity and innovation in favor of paperwork and politics, to revitalize our aerospace research enterprise, and to involve other federal agencies in space activities. One way to do this is to view NASA as an NSF like funding agency. Ensure EXTERNAL and UNBIASED peer review. This means that reviewers should not be civil servants or contract engineers, they should be scientists who want to do things in space. NASA's job would be to send money out to scientists with meritorious ideas and let them decide how best to spend that money. NASA should not be a middleman, controlling the money spent to (theoretically) serve the science objectives by doing engineering - it should allow the scientists themselves to do this. NASA civil servants should not manage programs, they should perform research and do the engineering that is needed to pursue science objectives but which no private entity can be found to do. NASA should serve as a source of money and knowledge, not as a middleman, manager or operator. Research proposals must be unsolicited in order to protect the integrity and independence of the proposal generation process. Development programs and operations should obtain all of funds through funded scientists in order to ensure these activities are serving legitimate needs. Scientists must be free to purchase services, including launch and the use of on orbit facilities, from any source they choose so that these choices are based solely on technical and economic merit. There are many ways to reform NASA - and many effective ways to deal with NASA intransigence. Some of these mirror ways private industry uses when it has a recalcitrant workforce and needs to change direction. Announce your changes well in advance, make it clear that there will be a lot of hard work to do pretty soon, that there might be layoffs, and that everyone can expect to be transferred to another center, and then offer an attractive early retirement package. Those who don't want a change from business as usual will retire. Some of them will decide they liked working after all, and go back to work in the private sector benefiting us all. Those who look forward to the new way you want to do business will stay and will have lots of time to get ready to do a good job of it. Institute merit review on the basis of whether individual small projects meet their deadlines and performance requirements. Tell the people what the deadlines and requirements are up front and allow them to decline working on the projects. Transfer those who establish a pattern of poor performance on the projects and hope a change of scenery does them some good. Offer promotions and incentives for people who distinguish themselves in nonmanagement activities. Assign onerous tasks to people who are not productive. These general principles have proven themselves in the marketplace and should be applied to NASA. Goals of our Space Activities The efforts of our many space pograms must be primarily directed towards acquiring knowledge and new understanding which can be used by the American people to open up the new frontier of space to private endeavor. The basic goals of NASA or its successor agencies should be as stated here: * To determine the origin, evolution and present state of the solar system and the universe * to understand the earth through comparative planetary studies * to understand the present and future dynamic state of the earth through detailed measurement and analysis * to understand the relationship between the physical and chemical evolution of the solar system and the appearance of life * to survey the natural resources available in near earth space * to understand basic physical processes in the space environment * to understand the effects of the space environment on terrestrial life * to understand and learn to control the behavior of technologically important processes in the space environment We must not forget that NASA currently has goals not directly related to space exploration (e. g. aeronautics). These are: * to explore the basic materials science applicable to advanced technology * to understand and learn to control the basic phenomena underlying airbreathing and space propulsion * to understand and learn to control the aerodynamics of flight over a wide range of conditions With many space agencies these goals can be served more efficiently by being pursued by institutions primarily devoted to them instead of by an institution for which they are an afterthought. The ultimate goal of our governmental space activities is to acquire the knowledge necessary to allow the American people to create a spacefaring civilization with settlements beyond the earth through private endeavor. Research - the generation of new knowledge and basic understanding - should be the TOP policy priority, as it is of intrinsic value in and of itself and has the broadest political appeal. Development should only be pursued in service of research. We must make the distinction between development and research very clear and because of historic abuses of the term "R&D" enforce a separation. This is most easily done by only providing direct funding to research through a merit review process and letting the people who are trying to DO the research contract independently of NASA or the government with whomever they wish for the engineering and services required to get their research done. Research is not politically partisan - it is almost apolitical. It has is widely recognized as being of intrinsic value and has bipartisan support. In the space arena, every major presidential candidate supports the value of generating basic knowledge about and new understanding of the space frontier. The value of research is so widely recognized that even Jesse Jackson fully supports continued RESEARCH on SDI related topics - even though strongly opposed to development or deployment. The federal government does contain models of ways to do things other than federally funded, agency managed and selected, contractor produced engineering. Federal funding need not carry the rest of this with it. Research is the search for basic knowledge and understanding. The creativity and special knowledge of individuals gained through long periods of hard work and study are key to research. Development is an attempt to create the technology to perform specified tasks. While development typically requires far more people than research, the people are more easily interchanged, 'bought' and 'sold' than in research. In development people are interchangeable and not particularly valuable as individuals. While development provides us with specific capabilities, without research which has no immediate applications, we do not gather the knowledge we must have to gain yet more advanced capabilities. Thus of the two research always seems less valuable at first sight and is ultimately the most. Without a vigorous research program, development consumes money and leads nowhere. Without market disciplined development to higlight the problems with the greatest impact on our technological capabilities basic research becomes a blind man's walk and provides knowledge with no practical applications. We must have an appropriate balance between federally funded research and privately financed development and maintain it over time in order to learn how to create a spacefaring civilization. Current policy has stressed development at the expense of research, and we are thus out of new ideas for a while. The solution to this is to support more research and be patient while it produces the basic ideas we need, rather than spending a lot of money rehashing ideas we have been over before in hopes they will look different this time around. There are several areas where basic research is needed - some of which are currently being ignored by NASA. These are hypersonic flight and propulsion (NASP is a development project with minimal research involved); microgravity materials processing; space resource utilization; life processes in the space environment; life sciences under variable gravity; and active and passive remote sensing techniques. Private technology development would be economically very favorable in the areas of: advanced space based communications; advanced materials; nonchemical propulsion; advanced computational techniques; technology support for space science; space power generation; long term life support; and advanced instrumentation, since there are currently significant technology needs that NASA is not able to fulfil in these areas. One of the most destructive and innapropriate things the government does is to hold patent rights. How can the government legitimately control the American people's rights to practice an invention made at their own expense? Add to this the fact that the government does not generate significant revenue in licensing these patents out anyway and it is clear that the government should immediately dispose of all patent rights by passing on patents to licensees, or in the absence of licensees placing them in the public domain. It is clear that reducing a patentable innovation to practice is a development activity. Since the government has no business funding development, it should not allow the patenting of any innovation which was reduced to practice using federal funds. Private entities can clearly perform the research needed to think up innovations at federal expense and retain the right to patent, but they should be asked to risk their own money if they wish to bring the innovation to fruition both to keept he government out of the development business and to ensure that they don't waste time pursuing a worhtless idea just because there is federal money to be had for exploring it. Real Priorities The priorities we give various activities should be proportional to budget we allocate to them - and REAL priorities ARE proportional to budget. Stated priorities are not always the real ones. For example, NASA claims that fostering commercial launch services is one of its highest priorities. Since it proposes to spend less than 1/2 of 1% of its budget on this, we must conclude that it is a very low priority indeed. If we want commercial launch services to be a high priority, we must take a substantial portion of the budget and earmark it specifically for this purpose. We should rearrange the NASA budget so the dollar amounts reflect the true priorities of the American people. The Reagan space policy offers several ways to back stated priorities with dollar funding amounts. For example, it mentions providing launch vouchers to scientists whose payloads are stuck on the ground now that the shuttle flight rate is reduced. Perhaps some money should be earmarked to back these vouchers so that they will mean something and can help foster a commercial launch industry while allowing many frustrated space scientists to finally get some results. Rewarding A Past Success The program of automated planetary exploration has been one of the major successes of the American space program. We must follow up on this success by implementing the recommendations of the Solar System Exploration Committee immediately, perhaps on an accelerated schedule, and by taking steps to see that they are not again put on indefinite hold as has happened in the recent past. In a very real sense the SSEC report is a 'peer reviewed' proposal in that it has passed muster with most of the space science and space interest community in the United States. This is the kind of activity that NASA should support by passing on funds to the proposers and letting them arrainge to carry out the work as proposed. Automated spacecraft provide us with invaluable knowledge about the universe around us - knowledge which has intrinsic beauty, often practical applications, and which will hasten our progress towards creating a spacefaring civilization. We must support a vigorous and ongoing planetary exploration program (and protect it from the budgetary pressures of other programs), which will pursue the goals laid out by the Solar System Exploration Committee: to determine the origin, evolution and present state of the solar system; to understand the Earth through comparative planetary studies; to understand the relationship between the chemical and physical evolution of the solar system and the appearance of life; and to survey the natural resources available in near Earth space. Automated spacecraft are appropriate and economical for a variety of simple or long term measurements, while human flexibility is required to solve complicated problems, improvise repairs or new experiments and gain a full and deep understanding of certain problems. Automated spacecraft will lead the way in exploring the solar system and identifying fascinating problems, while humans will always be needed to ultimately solve them. Real Reasons to Support Space The arguments that we should support THE SPACE PROGRAM because of all the spinoffs, or because the money magically multiplies itself seven times in stimulating economic activities are fallacious. There are a lot fewer spinoffs than is popularly believed - and it is difficult to believe that we could not do better if we spent the money trying to generate 'spin offs' directly rather than hoping a few occur. The idea that every dollar NASA spends is magically multiplied seven times and added to the economy is basically flawed - after all, it is money paying for things which are used up, not money spent to create wealth. If this argument were correct, we could all get together and cause economic growth simply by writing each other checks for a million dollars and passing them around in a circle. The original macroeconomic theory of Keynes has been so abused by these arguments that its true validity -- in the sense of creating PRODUCTIVE ACTIVITY (which is different from simply creating "jobs") -- has been almost totally obscured in policy debates ever since World War II. Instead we should OPEN THE SPACE FRONTIER for the same reasons that frontiers have always been opened - for what we learn, the wealth we gain, the opportunity it creates and the cultural vigor and vision it produces. No frontier is truly open until everyman can go there and pursue his own pet project or idea if he tries hard enough. Supporting an Appropriate Space Policy Support for vigorous space activities is bipartisan - every significant presidential candidate in 1988 has released or supported a detailed policy position on space. A 50 year plan is not appropriate. Even the Soviets don't have one. But the United States does... the National Commission on Space report and various NASA publications. At this point it is simply not possible to plan more than 3 to 5 years down the road and we should stop doing so immediately. An evolutionary program is a VIGOROUS program - one with long term plans is stagnant. This mirrors the difference between a free and a centrally planned (communist) economy. We need a vigorous, free, evolutionary space program that can take advantage of its successes and recover from its failures rapidly. What we have is a 'communistic' space program that suffers from the classic faults of communist economies - obsolescence, low productivity and a failure to serve real needs. --- Typical RESEARCH grant: $ Typical DEVELOPMENT contract: $$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$ ------------------------------ End of SPACE Digest V10 #343 *******************