.su.oz.au!metro!ipso!corona!not-for-mail
Subject: IPS Daily Report - 30 November 95
Date: 30 Nov 1995 22:58:57 -0000


SUBJ: IPS DAILY SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL REPORT
ISSUED AT 30/2330Z NOVEMBER 1995 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE REGIONAL WARNING CENTRE (RWC), SYDNEY.
SUMMARY FOR 30 NOVEMBER AND FORECAST FOR 01 DECEMBER - 03 DECEMBER
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1A. SOLAR SUMMARY
Activity: Very low

Flares: none.

Observed 10.7 cm flux/Equivalent Sunspot Number :  74/11

GOES satellite data for 29 Nov
       Daily Proton Fluence >1 MeV:   5.3E+05
       Daily Proton Fluence >10 MeV:  1.6E+04
       Daily Electron Fluence >2 MeV: 1.3E+07 (normal)
       X-ray background: A2.3
Fluence (flux accumulation over 24hrs)/ cm2-ster-day.

1B. SOLAR FORECAST
             01 Dec             02 Dec             03 Dec
Activity     Very low           Very low           Very low
Fadeouts     None expected      None expected      None expected

Forecast 10.7 cm flux/Equivalent Sunspot Number for 01 Dec:  74/11

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2A. MAGNETIC SUMMARY
Geomagnetic field at Learmonth: Quiet to unsettled

Estimated Indices : A   K           Observed A Index 29 Nov      
    Learmonth        7  3223 2111
    Fredericksburg  14                          14
    Planetary       10                          13       

Observed Kp for 29 Nov: 3253 2222
2B. MAGNETIC FORECAST 
DATE      Ap    CONDITIONS
01 Dec    10    quiet to unsettled with possible isolated 
                active periods. 
02 Dec    10    As for 01 Dec. 
03 Dec    10    As for 01 Dec. 

COMMENT: Brief periods of active levels are possible through 
until 4 Dec. 
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3A. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION SUMMARY
.            LATITUDE BAND
DATE        LOW            MIDDLE         HIGH 
30 Nov      Normal         Normal         Normal         
PCA Event : None

3B. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION FORECAST
.            LATITUDE BAND
DATE        LOW            MIDDLE         HIGH 
01 Dec      Normal         Normal         Normal        
02 Dec      Normal         Normal         Normal        
03 Dec      Normal         Normal         Normal        

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4A. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC SUMMARY
DATE   T index
30 Nov    30

Observed Australian Regional MUFs:
Townsville: 15-30% enhanced 06-11UT and 13-15UT. 
Sydney: near predicted monthly values with blanketing 
sporadic E 03-04UT. 
Hobart: near predicted monthly values with blanketing 
sporadic E 04-05UT. 

Predicted Monthly T index for November: 10

4B. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC FORECAST
DATE   T index  MUFs
01 Dec   15     near predicted monthly values with possible 
                sporadic E conditions. 
02 Dec   15     near predicted monthly values 
03 Dec   15     near predicted monthly values 

-- 
IPS Radio and Space Services      | email: rwc@ips.gov.au
PO Box 5606                       | WWW: http://www.ips.gov.au/rwc/
West Chatswood NSW 2057 AUSTRALIA | FTP: ftp://ftp.ips.gov.au/users/rwc/ 
tel: +61 2 4148300                | fax: +61 2 4148331 
