Subject: IPS Daily Report - 29 October 95
Date: 29 Oct 1995 23:38:39 -0000


SUBJ: IPS DAILY SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL REPORT
ISSUED AT 29/2330Z OCTOBER 1995 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE REGIONAL WARNING CENTRE (RWC), SYDNEY.
SUMMARY FOR 29 OCTOBER AND FORECAST FOR 30 OCTOBER - 01 NOVEMBER
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1A. SOLAR SUMMARY
Activity: Very Low

Flares: None

Observed 10.7 cm flux/Equivalent Sunspot Number : 074/011

GOES satellite data for 28 Oct
       Daily Proton Fluence >1 MeV:   2.0E+05
       Daily Proton Fluence >10 MeV:  1.8E+04
       Daily Electron Fluence >2 MeV: 6.8E+06 (normal)
       X-ray background: A1.7
Fluence (flux accumulation over 24hrs)/ cm2-ster-day.

1B. SOLAR FORECAST
             30 Oct             31 Oct             01 Nov
Activity     Very low           Very low           Very low
Fadeouts     None expected      None expected      None expected

Forecast 10.7 cm flux/Equivalent Sunspot Number for 30 Oct: 073/010

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2A. MAGNETIC SUMMARY
Geomagnetic field at Learmonth: Quiet

Estimated Indices : A   K           Observed A Index 28 Oct      
    Learmonth        5  2122 1112
    Fredericksburg   6                           2
    Planetary       10                           3       

Observed Kp for 28 Oct: 1111 1111
2B. MAGNETIC FORECAST 
DATE      Ap    CONDITIONS
30 Oct    12    Mostly unsettled though there is the possibility of
                an isolated active period occurring 
31 Oct    40    Active to minor storm
01 Nov    30    Active to minor storm
COMMENT: IPS Geomagnetic Warning 27 was issued on 27 October and is
current for interval 31 October to 5 November. 
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3A. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION SUMMARY
.            LATITUDE BAND
DATE        LOW            MIDDLE         HIGH 
29 Oct      Normal         Fair-normal    Fair-normal    
PCA Event : None

3B. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION FORECAST
.            LATITUDE BAND
DATE        LOW            MIDDLE         HIGH 
30 Oct      Normal         Fair-normal    Fair-normal   
31 Oct      Normal         Fair-normal    Fair-normal   
01 Nov      Fair-normal    Fair           Fair          

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4A. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC SUMMARY
DATE   T index
29 Oct    23

Observed Australian Regional MUFs:
Near predicted monthly values to 20% enhanced at Darwin and Sydney.
Townsville MUFs were near predicted monthly values. Hobart MUFs were
near predicted monthly values until 05 UT; thereafter no data.
Sporadic E was observed at Townsville 07-11 UT. At Sydney sporadic E
was observed 08-14 UT and spread F 11-18 UT.

Predicted Monthly T index for October: 10

4B. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC FORECAST
DATE   T index  MUFs
30 Oct    15    Near predicted monthly values
31 Oct     5    Near predicted monthly values
01 Nov     0    Near predicted monthly values to 20% depressed
COMMENT: IPS HF Communications Warning 27 was issued on 27 October
and is current for interval 31 October to 3 November. Degraded HF
comms conditions expected from 31 October.

-- 
IPS Radio and Space Services      | email: rwc@ips.gov.au
PO Box 5606                       | WWW: http://www.ips.gov.au/rwc/
West Chatswood NSW 2057 AUSTRALIA | FTP: ftp://ftp.ips.gov.au/users/rwc/ 
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