Subject: IPS Daily Report - 29 November 95
Date: 29 Nov 1995 23:09:31 -0000


SUBJ: IPS DAILY SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL REPORT
ISSUED AT 29/2330Z NOVEMBER 1995 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE REGIONAL WARNING CENTRE (RWC), SYDNEY.
SUMMARY FOR 29 NOVEMBER AND FORECAST FOR 30 NOVEMBER - 02 DECEMBER
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1A. SOLAR SUMMARY
Activity: Very low

Flares: none.

Observed 10.7 cm flux/Equivalent Sunspot Number :  72/8

GOES satellite data for 28 Nov
       Daily Proton Fluence >1 MeV:   1.6E+05
       Daily Proton Fluence >10 MeV:  1.6E+04
       Daily Electron Fluence >2 MeV: 3.4E+06 (normal)
       X-ray background: A1.0
Fluence (flux accumulation over 24hrs)/ cm2-ster-day.

1B. SOLAR FORECAST
             30 Nov             01 Dec             02 Dec
Activity     Very low           Very low           Very low
Fadeouts     None expected      None expected      None expected

Forecast 10.7 cm flux/Equivalent Sunspot Number for 30 Nov:  73/9

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2A. MAGNETIC SUMMARY
Geomagnetic field at Learmonth: quiet to unsettled, with active 
....period 15-18UT. 

Estimated Indices : A   K           Observed A Index 28 Nov      
    Learmonth       12  3232 3422
    Fredericksburg  13                           8
    Planetary       13                           8       

Observed Kp for 28 Nov: 1323 1222
2B. MAGNETIC FORECAST 
DATE      Ap    CONDITIONS
30 Nov    10    Quiet to unsettled with isolated active
..periods possible. 
01 Dec    10    As for 30 Nov.                          
02 Dec    10    AS for 30 Nov.   

COMMENT: Brief periods of active levels are possible through 
until 4 Dec. 
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3A. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION SUMMARY
.            LATITUDE BAND
DATE        LOW            MIDDLE         HIGH 
29 Nov      Normal         Normal         Normal         
PCA Event : None

3B. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION FORECAST
.            LATITUDE BAND
DATE        LOW            MIDDLE         HIGH 
30 Nov      Normal         Normal         Normal        
01 Dec      Normal         Normal         Normal        
02 Dec      Normal         Normal         Normal        

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4A. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC SUMMARY
DATE   T index
29 Nov    22

Observed Australian Regional MUFs:
Townsville: 15-30% enhanced 03-07UT, near predicted monthly 
values otherwise. 
Sydney: near predicted monthly values, with regular sporadic 
E observed. 
Hobart: near predicted monthly values. 

Predicted Monthly T index for November: 10

4B. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC FORECAST
DATE   T index  MUFs
30 Nov    15    near predicted monthly values 
01 Dec    10    near predicted monthly values 
02 Dec    10    near predicted monthly values 

-- 
IPS Radio and Space Services      | email: rwc@ips.gov.au
PO Box 5606                       | WWW: http://www.ips.gov.au/rwc/
West Chatswood NSW 2057 AUSTRALIA | FTP: ftp://ftp.ips.gov.au/users/rwc/ 
tel: +61 2 4148300                | fax: +61 2 4148331 
