Subject: IPS Daily Report - 28 October 95
Date: 28 Oct 1995 23:09:16 -0000


SUBJ: IPS DAILY SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL REPORT
ISSUED AT 28/2330Z OCTOBER 1995 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE REGIONAL WARNING CENTRE (RWC), SYDNEY.
SUMMARY FOR 28 OCTOBER AND FORECAST FOR 29 OCTOBER - 31 OCTOBER
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1A. SOLAR SUMMARY
Activity: very low

Flares: none.

Observed 10.7 cm flux/Equivalent Sunspot Number :  74/11

GOES satellite data for 27 Oct
       Daily Proton Fluence >1 MeV:   2.3E+05
       Daily Proton Fluence >10 MeV:  1.7E+04
       Daily Electron Fluence >2 MeV: 1.3E+07 (normal)
       X-ray background: A1.4
Fluence (flux accumulation over 24hrs)/ cm2-ster-day.

1B. SOLAR FORECAST
             29 Oct             30 Oct             31 Oct
Activity     Very low           Very low           Very low
Fadeouts     None expected      None expected      None expected

Forecast 10.7 cm flux/Equivalent Sunspot Number for 29 Oct:  73/9

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2A. MAGNETIC SUMMARY
Geomagnetic field at Learmonth: quiet

Estimated Indices : A   K           Observed A Index 27 Oct      
    Learmonth        2  2111 0011
    Fredericksburg   3                           6
    Planetary        8                           6       

Observed Kp for 27 Oct: 2111 2321
2B. MAGNETIC FORECAST 
DATE      Ap    CONDITIONS
29 Oct    16    Unsettled
30 Oct    20    Unsettled to active
31 Oct    30    Active to minor storm
COMMENT: IPS Geomagnetic Warning 27 was issued on 27 October and is
current for interval 31 October to 5 November. Active to minor storm
periods expected 31 October - 5 November.

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3A. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION SUMMARY
.            LATITUDE BAND
DATE        LOW            MIDDLE         HIGH 
28 Oct      normal         normal         normal         
PCA Event : None

3B. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION FORECAST
.            LATITUDE BAND
DATE        LOW            MIDDLE         HIGH 
29 Oct      normal         normal         fair          
30 Oct      normal         fair           fair-poor     
31 Oct      normal         fair           poor          

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4A. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC SUMMARY
DATE   T index
28 Oct    11

Observed Australian Regional MUFs:
near predicted monthly values

Predicted Monthly T index for October: 10

4B. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC FORECAST
DATE   T index  MUFs
29 Oct    15    Near predicted monthly values
30 Oct    10    Near predicted monthly values
31 Oct   -15    About 15% below predicted monthly values
COMMENT: IPS HF Communications Warning 27 was issued on 27 October
and is current for interval 31 October to 3 November. Degraded HF
comms conditions expected after 31 October.

-- 
IPS Radio and Space Services      | email: rwc@ips.gov.au
PO Box 5606                       | WWW: http://www.ips.gov.au/rwc/
West Chatswood NSW 2057 AUSTRALIA | FTP: ftp://ftp.ips.gov.au/users/rwc/ 
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