Subject: IPS Daily Report - 28 November 95
Date: 28 Nov 1995 23:29:23 -0000


SUBJ: IPS DAILY SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL REPORT
ISSUED AT 28/2330Z NOVEMBER 1995 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE REGIONAL WARNING CENTRE (RWC), SYDNEY.
SUMMARY FOR 28 NOVEMBER AND FORECAST FOR 29 NOVEMBER - 01 DECEMBER
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1A. SOLAR SUMMARY
Activity: Very low

Flares: none.

Observed 10.7 cm flux/Equivalent Sunspot Number :  73/9

GOES satellite data for 27 Nov
       Daily Proton Fluence >1 MeV:   3.5E+05
       Daily Proton Fluence >10 MeV:  1.7E+04
       Daily Electron Fluence >2 MeV: 1.7E+06 (normal)
       X-ray background: A1.0
Fluence (flux accumulation over 24hrs)/ cm2-ster-day.

1B. SOLAR FORECAST
             29 Nov             30 Nov             01 Dec
Activity     Very low           Very low           Very low
Fadeouts     None expected      None expected      None expected

Forecast 10.7 cm flux/Equivalent Sunspot Number for 29 Nov:  73/9

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2A. MAGNETIC SUMMARY
Geomagnetic field at Learmonth: Quiet to unsettled

Estimated Indices : A   K           Observed A Index 27 Nov      
    Learmonth        9  2322 2232
    Fredericksburg   8                          21
    Planetary       10                          21       

Observed Kp for 27 Nov: 1036 3332
2B. MAGNETIC FORECAST 
DATE      Ap    CONDITIONS
29 Nov    10    Quiet to unsettled with isolated active periods 
                possible. 
30 Nov    10    As for 29 Nov.
01 Dec    10    As for 29 Nov.

COMMENT: Brief periods of active levels are possible through 
until 4 Dec. 
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3A. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION SUMMARY
.            LATITUDE BAND
DATE        LOW            MIDDLE         HIGH 
28 Nov      Normal         Normal         Normal         
PCA Event : None

3B. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION FORECAST
.            LATITUDE BAND
DATE        LOW            MIDDLE         HIGH 
29 Nov      Normal         Normal         Fair
30 Nov      Normal         Normal         Fair
01 Dec      Normal         Normal         Fair

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4A. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC SUMMARY
DATE   T index
28 Nov    -4

Observed Australian Regional MUFs:
Townsville: up to 30% depressed until 19UT. 
Sydney: 10-20% depressed during the local day. 
Hobart: 15-30% depressed during the local day with Spread F at 
night. 
Occasional Sporadic E layer was observed at all sites. 

Predicted Monthly T index for November: 10

4B. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC FORECAST
DATE   T index  MUFs
29 Nov    10    near predicted monthly values 
30 Nov    10    near predicted monthly values 
01 Dec    10    near predicted monthly values 

-- 
IPS Radio and Space Services      | email: rwc@ips.gov.au
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West Chatswood NSW 2057 AUSTRALIA | FTP: ftp://ftp.ips.gov.au/users/rwc/ 
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