Subject: IPS Daily Report - 27 November 95
Date: 27 Nov 1995 23:16:26 -0000


SUBJ: IPS DAILY SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL REPORT
ISSUED AT 27/2330Z NOVEMBER 1995 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE REGIONAL WARNING CENTRE (RWC), SYDNEY.
SUMMARY FOR 27 NOVEMBER AND FORECAST FOR 28 NOVEMBER - 30 NOVEMBER
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1A. SOLAR SUMMARY
Activity: Very low

Flares: none.

Observed 10.7 cm flux/Equivalent Sunspot Number :  71/6

GOES satellite data for 26 Nov
       Daily Proton Fluence >1 MeV:   3.3E+05
       Daily Proton Fluence >10 MeV:  1.8E+04
       Daily Electron Fluence >2 MeV: 1.9E+06 (normal)
       X-ray background: A1.0
Fluence (flux accumulation over 24hrs)/ cm2-ster-day.

1B. SOLAR FORECAST
             28 Nov             29 Nov             30 Nov
Activity     Very low           Very low           Very low
Fadeouts     None expected      None expected      None expected

Forecast 10.7 cm flux/Equivalent Sunspot Number for 28 Nov:  72/8

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2A. MAGNETIC SUMMARY
Geomagnetic field at Learmonth: quiet 00-06UT, and mostly active to 
major storm thereafter.

Estimated Indices : A   K           Observed A Index 26 Nov      
    Learmonth       24  2246 4342
    Fredericksburg  20                           1
    Planetary       20                           1       

Observed Kp for 26 Nov: 1100 0000
2B. MAGNETIC FORECAST 
DATE      Ap    CONDITIONS
28 Nov    20                      Quiet to active. 
29 Nov    15                      Quiet to active. 
30 Nov    10                      Quiet to active. 
COMMENT: Geomagnetic activity was greater than expected yesterday for 
the current period of recurrent activity.

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3A. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION SUMMARY
.            LATITUDE BAND
DATE        LOW            MIDDLE         HIGH 
27 Nov      Fair-normal    Fair-normal    Poor-normal    
PCA Event : None

3B. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION FORECAST
.            LATITUDE BAND
DATE        LOW            MIDDLE         HIGH 
28 Nov      Normal         Fair           Poor
29 Nov      Normal         Normal         Fair
30 Nov      Normal         Normal         Fair

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4A. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC SUMMARY
DATE   T index
27 Nov    24

Observed Australian Regional MUFs:
Townsville: 30-50% enhanced 07-14UT.
Sydney: 15-30% enhanced 06-11UT, then 15-30% depressed 17-20UT.
Hobart: near predicted monthly values.
Occasional Sporadic E layer was observed at all sites.

Predicted Monthly T index for November: 10

4B. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC FORECAST
DATE   T index  MUFs
28 Nov   -10    10-30% depressed during the local day and near
                predicted monthly values thereafter.
29 Nov    10    Near predicted monthly values.
30 Nov    10    Near predicted monthly values.

-- 
IPS Radio and Space Services      | email: rwc@ips.gov.au
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