Subject: IPS Daily Report - 26 November 95
Date: 26 Nov 1995 23:25:12 -0000


SUBJ: IPS DAILY SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL REPORT
ISSUED AT 26/2330Z NOVEMBER 1995 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE REGIONAL WARNING CENTRE (RWC), SYDNEY.
SUMMARY FOR 26 NOVEMBER AND FORECAST FOR 27 NOVEMBER - 29 NOVEMBER
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1A. SOLAR SUMMARY
Activity: Very low

Flares: none.

Observed 10.7 cm flux/Equivalent Sunspot Number :  73/9

GOES satellite data for 25 Nov
       Daily Proton Fluence >1 MeV:   2.8E+05
       Daily Proton Fluence >10 MeV:  1.8E+04
       Daily Electron Fluence >2 MeV: 2.0E+06 (normal)
       X-ray background: A1.0
Fluence (flux accumulation over 24hrs)/ cm2-ster-day.

1B. SOLAR FORECAST
             27 Nov             28 Nov             29 Nov
Activity     Very low           Very low           Very low
Fadeouts     None expected      None expected      None expected

Forecast 10.7 cm flux/Equivalent Sunspot Number for 27 Nov:  73/9

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2A. MAGNETIC SUMMARY
Geomagnetic field at Learmonth: Quiet

Estimated Indices : A   K           Observed A Index 25 Nov      
    Learmonth        4  2111 1112
    Fredericksburg   3                           2
    Planetary        2                           1       

Observed Kp for 25 Nov: 1000 0010
2B. MAGNETIC FORECAST 
DATE      Ap    CONDITIONS
27 Nov    10    Quiet to unsettled.
28 Nov    15    Quiet to unsettled with the possibility of
                isolated active periods. 
29 Nov    20    Quiet to unsettled with the possibility of
                isolated active periods. 
COMMENT: Brief periods of active levels are expected 28 Nov - 4 Dec.

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3A. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION SUMMARY
.            LATITUDE BAND
DATE        LOW            MIDDLE         HIGH 
26 Nov      Normal         Normal         Normal         
PCA Event : None

3B. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION FORECAST
.            LATITUDE BAND
DATE        LOW            MIDDLE         HIGH 
27 Nov      Normal         Normal         Fair
28 Nov      Normal         Normal         Fair
29 Nov      Normal         Fair           Poor

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4A. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC SUMMARY
DATE   T index
26 Nov     4

Observed Australian Regional MUFs:
Townsville: 15-30% depressed 11-16UT.
Sydney and Hobart: near predicted monthly values, with night-time Spread F.
Occasional Sporadic E layer was observed at all sites.

Predicted Monthly T index for November: 10

4B. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC FORECAST
DATE   T index  MUFs
27 Nov    10    near predicted monthly values
28 Nov    10    near predicted monthly values
29 Nov    10    near predicted monthly values

-- 
IPS Radio and Space Services      | email: rwc@ips.gov.au
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West Chatswood NSW 2057 AUSTRALIA | FTP: ftp://ftp.ips.gov.au/users/rwc/ 
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